Football Study Hall: You’re more likely to score after a punt. Why?

Football Study Hall: You’re more likely to score after a punt. Why?


September 12, 2018

Bill Connelly talks about why you’re more likely to score after a punt (LINK).

Hit the jump for some good looking brunettes.

2 comments

  1. Comments: 226
    Joined: 12/24/2016
    INTJohn
    Sep 13, 2018 at 6:26 AM

    0.2 points/possession = 1 point/5 possessions
    But since scoring 1 point can only be done after scoring a td this stat becomes superfluous.
    Hence a field goal, 3 points/15 possessions
    Or TD, 6 points/30 possessions becomes more of the reality of the stats comparison and finding the reality of the Why.

    It would be interesting to see if the data shows any appreciable difference regarding field goal vs td. This I think would be the starting point as to finding the Why? but without the author’s data its difficult to do any viable analysis or investigation but from the philosophical standpoint should make for great discussion…………intjohn

  2. Comments: 226
    Joined: 12/24/2016
    INTJohn
    Sep 13, 2018 at 4:22 PM

    https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/stat/punt-attempts-per-game

    given this seasons data re #punts, a reasonable best guess per game seems to be around 5. I didn’t total or average this data just took a qwik glance and it looks about 5 per game is in the ball park. But, this doesn’t mean they all fall within the author’s parameters of position after the punt falling between ones own 20 yard line and the 50……..

    So if there are 5 positions after punt per game this = 60 per 12 game season which if any correlation is linear; ( which I doubt) (but at this point its all there is to go by) this amounts to a 12 point per season MAXIMUM positive point differential relative to the other methods mentioned by the author.

    These 12 points can be accomplished in only 3 ways:
    1- 2 touchdowns
    2- 4 field goals
    3- 1 td; 2 field goals

    And one must remember this is only relative to those 60 average after punt possessions that fall within the field position between ones own 20 yard line and the 50……… so the sample is probably much more spread out relative to the author’s original question……… i.e. Number of necessary data points would cover at least 2 seasons or more. Thus no matter the Why? What is & where does this field goal or Td that results in an after punt point differential relative to the other methods; occur?? Can’t know this till one does in fact know the Why? But then there’s Murphy’s Law?

    Jus sayin………….INTjohn

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