Michigan 49, Penn State 10

Michigan 49, Penn State 10


September 25, 2016
jordan-lewis-401x

It was nice to see Jourdan Lewis back in action (image via MLive)

I’m still not sold on Wilton Speight. His numbers weren’t bad (21/34, 189 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT), but he’s the epitome of a game manager right now. He’s 4-0 as a starter and doesn’t turn the ball over much, while his offense is scoring 50 points a game. He missed a lot of open throws, though. He airmailed a few passes and threw a couple others into the ground. Even a wide open deep throw to Jehu Chesson turned into a duck that Chesson had to slow down and fall to the ground just to reel in, and a wide open flat route by Khalid Hill required a shoe-top grab by Hill. I’m reminded of Denard Robinson in 2010 when he put up decent passing numbers (62.5% completions, 18 TDs, 11 INTs) but a lot of his throws prevented receivers from running after the catch. Some of these issues plagued Jake Rudock early in the 2015 season, so there’s a precedent for improvement. I think Michigan is somewhat lucky that Penn State’s offense and linebackers weren’t better, because if this game came down to being put on Speight’s shoulders, I don’t know if he could win it with his arm. He and the wide receivers just don’t seem to have great timing right now.

Hit the jump for more.





Running game grade: INC. Michigan put up some excellent numbers in the running game, rushing a total of 49 times for 326 yards (6.7 yards/carry) and 6 touchdowns. If you take out the kneel-downs to run out the clock, it’s an even more impressive 46 attempts for 330 yards (7.2 yards/carry). Penn State, however, was fighting with, well, five hands tied behind its back. The Nittany Lions were playing without their starting three linebackers, the backup MIKE was booted from the game early, and the third-string MIKE got injured. Let’s put that in Michigan terms for some perspective. Imagine this lineup:

  • SAM: Jabrill Peppers Noah Furbush
  • MIKE: Ben Gedeon Michael Wroblewski Elysee Mbem-Bosse Devin Gil
  • WILL: Mike McCray II Devin Bush, Jr.

Even disregarding how badly the loss of Peppers would hurt the special teams and offense, that’s a highly questionable second level. We don’t have any feel whatsoever for the guys behind Gedeon, because Don Brown won’t play them on defense. I’m not sure that Devin Gil would be the fourth guy in, but it doesn’t really matter – that guy’s not going to be very good. I do think Michigan would be in better shape than PSU because the Wolverines have more talent on the defensive line and in the secondary, but that would still be rough.

Speaking of PSU’s depleted linebacker corps . . . that targeting call against linebacker Brandon Smith was horsecrap, but it was both the right and the wrong call. It was right because Smith made forcible contact to the head and neck area of a defenseless receiver. By definition, it was targeting. But the call feels wrong because it wasn’t purposeful, and Smith was diving for the ball when his shoulder pad hit Grant Perry in the head. This game can’t have it both ways, though. With all the controversy surrounding concussions and head trauma, you either go all in with both feet or you risk not fixing anything. There’s no room in the rules for intent. “I didn’t mean to interfere with the pass receiver” or “I didn’t mean to grab that guy’s jersey” are not viable excuses to avoid flags, and “I didn’t mean to hit him in the head” shouldn’t be, either. If you want to clean up the game, you have to take make a zero-tolerance policy, and maybe defenders just have to go for the tackle rather than diving for the ball in that situation. It’s frustrating because it’s not the same game we all grew up loving, but it’s necessary. I think the only acceptable reason for picking up a targeting flag or rescinding an ejection is if the offending player is blocked into the receiver.

Redshirt blowtorch continued: Freshman linebacker Elysee Mbem-Bosse played on special teams (EDIT: and Nate Johnson did indeed play against UCF), so here are the remaining freshmen who have yet to play:

  • DE Ron Johnson
  • K Quinn Nordin
  • QB Brandon Peters
  • OG Stephen Spanellis
  • RB Kareem Walker

That means 21 of the remaining 26 signees from the 2016 class have burned their redshirts.

Goodbye, Jeremy Clark. Clark, who was out there on the kickoff return team late in the game, went down with a non-contact knee injury. Jim Harbaugh said what we were all thinking after the game when he suspected it was a torn ACL. Clark is probably done for the year, and that’s probably the last time we’ll see him in a Michigan uniform. He started the first few games of the season before going to the bench upon the return of Jourdan Lewis, but he still played a lot in nickel packages. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that Michigan locked up PSU’s passing game after struggling against Colorado, since the Wolverines had seniors at every single defensive backfield position in the nickel package and didn’t have to count on safeties in coverage so much. Clark had 10 tackles and 3 pass breakups this season, and for his career, he had notched 49 tackles, 3 interceptions, and 7 pass breakups. Not bad for a lowly recruit without a position from nowhere, Kentucky.

Jabrill Peppers quietly had a very good day. I feel like the announcers didn’t talk about him a great deal, at least not compared to the fawning praise he received during last week’s broadcast. Peppers ended the day with 11 tackles, 4 tackles for loss, and 1 forced fumble, along with 2 punt returns for 54 yards. One of those punt returns went for 53 yards and was a shoestring tackle away from getting to the endzone. EDIT: I was using the official site’s box score, so they must have made a typo. It now says Peppers had 5 tackles, 0 TFLs, and 0 FFs, which seems more in line with what I remember. That’s why he quietly had a good day – because he quietly had a quiet day.

Running back depth chart. The coaching staff is doing a good job of keeping the running backs fresh, and there are enough reps going around that they’re all getting experience. I think that’s important. As much as people say running back is an easy position to learn, there’s something to be said for seeing plays develop, following your blockers, learning the speed of the college game, etc. The pecking order isn’t clear after #1 De’Veon Smith, but sophomore Karan Higdon seems to have made a move. Smith had 12 carries for 107 yards (8.9 yards/carry) and 1 TD, while Higdon had 9 carries for 81 yards (9 yards/carry) and 2 TDs. Ty Isaac ran 11 times for 74 yards (6.7 yards/carry) and 1 TD, and Chris Evans rushed 8 times for 56 yards (7 yards/carry) and 1 TD. When your top four backs get 12, 11, 9, and 8 carries, that’s some pretty good parity. It’s also an indication that if Jim Harbaugh thinks you can play, then you’re going to get opportunities, regardless of your age. That might be a bit of a message to running back recruits.

That was an enjoyable victory. A former rival high school player plays for Penn State, so I got a little extra enjoyment out of Michigan beating the Nittany Lions. But it was fun for other reasons, too. Michigan destroyed PSU’s offensive line, made plays in the running game, and generally dominated the game. Saquon Barkley has enough talent to make things happen all by himself, and it was kind of fun to watch someone with his talent play the game of football. I can appreciate good football players, even when they’re the enemy. I’m just glad it wasn’t a nail-biter, so I didn’t have to worry about one of his big plays deciding the game.

Michigan is the winningest team in college football history. Before the game, Michigan needed a win and a Notre Dame loss to surpass the Fighting Irish for the crown as the winningest team. I didn’t think Notre Dame would lose to Duke, so I didn’t think it would happen. But lo and behold, the Irish are now 1-3 after losing to the Blue Devils and Michigan has recaptured the title.

35 comments

  1. Comments: 7
    Joined: 12/17/2015
    Gobluex2
    Sep 25, 2016 at 9:43 AM

    Great write-up. Hindsight is always 20/20, but it’s hard not to wonder why so many key players are out on the field for kickoffs/returns so late into blowouts. Clark went down without contact, so perhaps his ligament was destined to tear at some point on defense, but on the same play Lewis took a hard shot from their super-sized kicker.

    I imagine some of the younger guys/non-starters would enjoy being on the field and getting some experience on these inconsequential plays. Is this just an extension of Harbaugh’s everything-is-a-competition mentality? The potential risks seem to strongly outweigh the potential rewards.

    • Comments: 3844
      Joined: 7/13/2015
      Sep 25, 2016 at 10:04 AM

      Special teams is a tricky thing. There are lots of starters playing on special teams, so moving all of them off the special teams units late in games is difficult. It’s also probably not something that coaches devote a full third of practice to (though they all say it’s a third of the game), so getting backups fully prepared to play specials is tough. On our high school special teams units, we have a full two-deep for every unit, but in truth, there are only a few guys that we would be comfortable inserting at any given time. On a kickoff unit, for example, we have a couple guys up front we could put in, two guys on the second level, and then one returner. Granted, Michigan has a much bigger roster, but it just indicates how little room there is for error.

      Also, there’s probably an element of organization. If you start messing with too many “starting” special teams guys, yanking them toward the end of blowouts, etc., then you have to worry about “Does Player Y know he’s supposed to be in there for Player X?” And if that person gets hurt, then you have to do more reshuffling, substituting, keeping track of who’s dinged up, who’s cramping up, etc. Special teams is a difficult area to organize because you have KO, KR, punt, PR, FG, FG block, onside kick, and hands teams, not to mention variations on some of those (punt block, punt return, spread punt, tight punt, etc.) that might require different personnel. That’s at least 8 units and, therefore, 88 positions to track. So it may be kind of a practical thing to keep in your starters except for one or two guys here or there.

      • Comments: 117
        Joined: 9/28/2015
        PapaBear
        Sep 25, 2016 at 10:54 AM

        Depth? Who will be on the D-line next season? Mone, Ownwenu, Dwumfur, Hurst. Kemp. Depth and size worry me? You?

        • Comments: 1364
          Joined: 8/11/2015
          WindyCityBlue
          Sep 25, 2016 at 10:58 AM

          Um…Gary?

        • Comments: 6285
          Joined: 8/11/2015
          Lanknows
          Sep 25, 2016 at 11:22 AM

          Gary/Hurst/Mone/Winovich projects as a helluva starting DL. Probably the best in the conference. They’ll need some kids (Marshall/Dwumfur/Kemp) to step up behind them but that’s where Mattison’s track record should lesson anyone’s worries.

          I do think DT might be the most important position for the recruiting class.

          • Comments: 3844
            Joined: 7/13/2015
            Sep 25, 2016 at 4:08 PM

            I agree that it should be a decent starting group, but Winovich is a potential weakness if he’s your starter. We’ll see how his body develops, but I don’t think he can hold up for a whole season at 245 lbs. It’s going to be a step down next year, because I just don’t think we can develop a second unit like this year’s second unit, even if the #1s are on par.

            • Comments: 6285
              Joined: 8/11/2015
              Lanknows
              Sep 25, 2016 at 11:48 PM

              245 isn’t light for a WDE.

              BC’s starting DEs last year were 245 and 255. Michigan’s next year will be 250 and 295.

              Winovich looks he’ll evolve into an all-conference caliber player to me. He’s a RS So in his first year at the position.

        • Comments: 3844
          Joined: 7/13/2015
          Sep 25, 2016 at 7:03 PM

          I’ll have another post up tomorrow, but for now you can check out the 2017 depth chart I posted in August:

          https://touch-the-banner.com/way-early-2017-depth-chart-august-2016/

  2. Comments: 359
    Joined: 8/11/2015
    GKblue
    Sep 25, 2016 at 9:43 AM

    Upvoted!

    Speight sure was off target yesterday. Against a team with really good DBs he might not be so lucky.

    I think the lack of Penn State LBs was a direct correlation to our running success. Also I wanted to see Speight take more advantage of this on short crossing routes.

    Do to the lack of fawning over Peppers, I didn’t realize he had such a statistically good defensive game. Yes he stood out, but on the other hand swarm tackling is so freaking cool I don’t care who gets all the credit. i still hear Ufer screaming about all the blue jerseys attacking the ball!

    I don’t want it to be confused we were the winningest team any way. Didn’t we surpass ND in winning percentage?

    Any win is a good win. Especially one of this magnitude in the B1G.

    • Comments: 3844
      Joined: 7/13/2015
      Sep 25, 2016 at 9:54 AM

      That lack of linebackers is why I predicted a good day for Butt. And while he did have a good day, it wasn’t as big as I thought it would be.

      We surpassed ND in winning percentage. We already had the most victories.

    • Comments: 23
      Joined: 1/29/2016
      maizinblue88
      Sep 25, 2016 at 11:00 AM

      Those numbers for Peppers are wrong – he had 5 tackles but no TFL yesterday.

      • Comments: 3844
        Joined: 7/13/2015
        Sep 25, 2016 at 7:00 PM

        Noted. I went back and checked the box score, and the numbers had been changed.

  3. Comments: 33
    Joined: 8/15/2016
    mos12
    Sep 25, 2016 at 10:00 AM

    The second of Peppers returns was right on the boundary and he immediately went out of bounds, there was not possibility that he could return it. I was wondering how it would show up statistically because it was really like a fair catch. If he had waved his arm, he would have had 1 return for 54 yards.

  4. Comments: 191
    Joined: 8/13/2015
    crazyjoedavola
    Sep 25, 2016 at 10:40 AM

    I agree that at this point Speight is just a game manager and when facing better opposition there will be a heavy infusion of Peppers into the offense to give it a boost. For the most part Speight has avoided the back breaking mistakes that plagued RR’s and Hoke’s qbs but he is not on the level of qbs we had under Carr.

  5. Comments: 1364
    Joined: 8/11/2015
    WindyCityBlue
    Sep 25, 2016 at 10:57 AM

    You can complain about Speight, but the bottom line is that we have had very few failed drives so far this season. His limitations may be more of a problem against significantly better teams (not sure who those are going to be, other than OSU), but If you look back through the records, this is the first season since 1947 that we’ve scored at least 40 points in each of our first four games. That’s against all sorts of competition, with QBs, RBs and Olines better than we’ve had now. Speight deserves at least some of the credit for a very efficient offense. His efficiency numbers are significantly better than Ruddock’s after 4 games.

    Our defense has allowed only 6 third down conversions in 4 games. That’s insane.

    • Comments: 6285
      Joined: 8/11/2015
      Lanknows
      Sep 25, 2016 at 11:15 AM

      The other games are the point aren’t they? Michigan lost to Utah last year because Rudock just-missed a couple long passes to Chesson and had some miscommunications with a a freshman wide receiver. This is stuff that will cost you ballgames when the margin for error is gone.

      Speight’s doing fine but we can’t assume he’s going to make the same leap that Rudock made last year. He’s been in this offense for a helluva lot longer than Rudock was last September.

      I do think Speight deserves credit for how excellent he’s been on 3rd downs (and keeping drives alive in general – even with his legs! against PSU).

      • Comments: 1364
        Joined: 8/11/2015
        WindyCityBlue
        Sep 25, 2016 at 1:56 PM

        The other side of that is that Ruddock already had a lot more experience playing QB in real games than Speight, even though not in the same offense. And I don’t think it’s unreasonable to make the default assumption that Speight will continue to improve as he gets more game experience, and the coaches have more film to coach him on. Exactly how much, we don’t know, but we’re averaging 52 points a game so far. How much more would you hope for, if Speight were playing as well as you’d like him to be?

    • Comments: 3844
      Joined: 7/13/2015
      Sep 25, 2016 at 7:01 PM

      I think Wisconsin, MSU, and OSU are all going to be tougher opponents for Michigan to move the ball against.

  6. Comments: 6285
    Joined: 8/11/2015
    Lanknows
    Sep 25, 2016 at 11:10 AM

    Good recap.

    I thought this was the most representative game of where Speight is at. He has excellent composure, solid vision, does a good job avoiding mistakes, but isn’t consistently accurate. I don’t think any of us trust him to lead a comeback right now, but we won’t know until we know (if we ever find out).

    I thought the run game again showed progress. LBs had something to do with that sure, but you can only beat the guys in front of you I keep hearing. The consistent production, 4 backs averaging around 7ypc (or more), and 300+ rushing yards is impressive against any power conf opponent.

    Clark is a huge loss. Non-contact play so it’s hard to blame the special teams or situation, but let’s be honest – Michigan is playing with fire by keeping in all their starters so late in decided games and using them so heavily on special teams. Do we really need Jourdan Lewis as a returner so that he can get obliterated by “a nose tackle who can kick”? One example of many.

    We’ll need Watson, Hudson, Kinnell, Long, or Hill to step up now. Thunder and I have quibbled for years about the value of the 3rd and 4th CB and unfortunately now that issue is going to be a sensitive area for Michigan. Hopefully Thunder is right and it’s NBD… It may also mean more Furbush if Peppers is needed at nickel. On that front – still disappointing not to see more LB rotation in decided games.

    Asiasi looks really good to my eye. Credit to Thunder here for bringing the hype. Wheatley got all the attention from Mgoblog in the offseason, but was immediately surpassed by a true freshman. At this point I think Asiasi is Butt’s heir and Bunting/Wheatley and others will be fighting for TE2 snaps.

    DL was dominant in way that I have rarely seen. Nearly every play they were busting through, typically in waves.

    This, to me, was by far the most impressive performance of the season. A hobbled PSU is still a better team than many we’ll face this year and, while the transitive property has it’s limitations, PSU played Pitt tight and Pitt appears to be a legit team that has played Ok St and UNC to the wire on the road. We may end up being the only team that keeps Barkley under 4 ypc (though he did get loose in the passing game later in the game).

    Onward to Wisconsin, which looks like a much bigger matchup than anticipated suddenly. I’m happy about that as Michigan will surely benefit from a ‘real game’ before heading to East Lansing.

    • Comments: 6285
      Joined: 8/11/2015
      Lanknows
      Sep 25, 2016 at 11:52 AM

      2 things I forgot:

      Godin’s demise was greatly overstated. Hurst and Charlton back and he’s still seeing starter-level snaps and playing at a high level. PFF’s 2nd highest rated DL after Hurst in a game they dominated.

      Franklin kicking the goalline FG down 28-0 is a b**ch move. PSU’s D seemed to be keeping the Michigan run game in check before that and I think they gave up. Franklin deserves the firing that’s coming his way.

      • Comments: 183
        Joined: 9/3/2015
        suduri xusai
        Sep 25, 2016 at 3:09 PM

        Yes, it was a Hoke-like move on Franklin’s part to go for 3. It showed that Franklin wasn’t coaching to win. He already knew he would lose the game and it affected his players’ morale. I’ve been saying this but J Franklin is very overrated. But I highly doubt that a top class coach would go to PSU.

        • Comments: 3844
          Joined: 7/13/2015
          Sep 25, 2016 at 4:04 PM

          Penn State probably needs to do what any other “rebuilding” program does and hire a young up-and-comer, like an offensive coordinator or defensive coordinator from a hotshot program. That is, if they don’t turn things around with Franklin. I don’t think Franklin is as bad as some others do, but I wouldn’t want to hire him.

          • Comments: 1356
            Joined: 8/13/2015
            Roanman
            Sep 25, 2016 at 5:17 PM

            I don’t care one way or another about Penn State or Franklin, but how on earth can you get real mad at Franklin when he has fewer scholies than the rest of college football and is trying to bring kids into, as stigmatized program as any in the history of college football. Penn State fans haven’t the cajones to face their own responsibility in this train wreck of a program.

            • Comments: 183
              Joined: 9/3/2015
              suduri xusai
              Sep 25, 2016 at 7:58 PM

              Yes, the recruiting problems are still plaguing PSU. But truly top-notch coaches can overcome that at times. I just don’t see it in Franklin. 0 signature win in 3 years.

      • Comments: 3844
        Joined: 7/13/2015
        Sep 25, 2016 at 4:06 PM

        I’d take any grades from this game with a grain of salt. Godin did a very good job, but he should have, since PSU’s offensive line is terrible.

        • Comments: 6285
          Joined: 8/11/2015
          Lanknows
          Sep 25, 2016 at 11:59 PM

          He’s been good all year and was good last year. He isn’t Wormley or Glasgow but he’s an important part of this team. I expect he will keep getting snaps even if/when the line is fully healthy.

    • Comments: 3844
      Joined: 7/13/2015
      Sep 25, 2016 at 4:11 PM

      IMO, Colorado was a better team than Penn State. I think last week’s game was a bigger test than PSU.

      • Comments: 1356
        Joined: 8/13/2015
        Roanman
        Sep 25, 2016 at 5:11 PM

        Agreed, Colorado made Hoke’s Duck’s D look pretty bad at home yesterday. Oregon’s first three game home losing streak since 2007, maybe 8.

      • Comments: 6285
        Joined: 8/11/2015
        Lanknows
        Sep 25, 2016 at 11:51 PM

        Right – but Michigan didn’t play nearly as well against Colorado.

        • Comments: 1356
          Joined: 8/13/2015
          Roanman
          Sep 26, 2016 at 5:55 AM

          As compared to what or whom?

          • Comments: 6285
            Joined: 8/11/2015
            Lanknows
            Sep 26, 2016 at 12:20 PM

            Comparing CU to PSU. CU is better team (by a significant amount it would seem) but Michigan struggled against them and didn’t take a 2 score lead until almost the 4th quarter. They dominated PSU from the outset.

  7. Comments: 313
    Joined: 8/17/2015
    JC
    Sep 25, 2016 at 3:11 PM

    The loss of Clark is pretty massive. Having someone with his talent and range as our 3rd corner was nice, but the show must go on.

    If Clark had a previous medical redshirt and we go to the BIG championship game, he could’ve had a 6th year. I’m unfamiliar on all the rules for 6th years, but if he plays less than 30% of the season he could be back. 4 games / 14 games is < 30%. However, they'd need to apply, because I believe you need to have already had a medical redshirt, which I don't believe applies to Clark.

    It was an incredibly fun game to watch. I can't believe how we were consistently converting on 3rd down. It was great to see how open Butt was on every one of them. I understand Butt being open is a function of PSU's linebackers, but it was still nice to see.

    One thing I think is funny is the ESPN recap, they have a probability calculator showing the chance of victory. It was above 99.5% in the 2nd quarter for Michigan. VERY NICE!

    The Wisconsin MSU game doesn't make me fear MSU any less, but it doesn't make me a little nervous about Wisco's DBs. If you check the stats for the game, MSU out gained them offensively, but the 4 turnovers was too much to overcome.

    I'm rambling.

    Go blue.

  8. Comments: 1356
    Joined: 8/13/2015
    Roanman
    Sep 25, 2016 at 4:28 PM

    I’m not sophisticated enough to pick up non blatant screwed up assignments, but I thought that with the exception of Higdon’s long TD run, Penn States back 7 on defense were not bad. I admired their feist. I thought we just beat the snot out of both Penn State lines.

    Once again, in defense of Speight, four, maybe five times, Penn State got their hands on him or at least close enough for government work, and he shrugged off D Linemen, or slipped out of the pocket, occasionally for a gain/maybe first down, but always without a loss of anything more serious than a down. I think he’s pretty slick in a lumbering sort of way, and also pretty cool headed back there.

    I was at a thing doing other people’s kid stuff yesterday afternoon, so I was catching tweets and then trying to catch whatever play was in the conversation, on my phone. When Speight scrambles for a first on 4th and 8, somebody tweeted that Speight’s scramble was the slowest in the history of college football. I’m thinking, “Hyperbole and unnecessarily mean hyperbole at that.” So, I get up at 5:00 this morning to catch the replay at the hotel. That might just have been the slowest scramble in all of football history.

  9. Comments: 33
    Joined: 8/15/2016
    mos12
    Sep 25, 2016 at 6:21 PM

    There was one play where Gedeon ran down Saquon Barkley that really impressed me. He showed sideline to sideline speed that I haven’t seen in our linebackers (Peppers of course excluded). Most years recently, Barkley gets the corner.

    • Comments: 6285
      Joined: 8/11/2015
      Lanknows
      Sep 25, 2016 at 11:56 PM

      Gedeon is playing great it seems to me. It does feel like Brown has unleashed the LBs into attack mode and the athleticism of McCray, Peppers, and Gedeon seems to be a great fit.

You must belogged in to post a comment.