Michigan 51, Central Florida 14

Michigan 51, Central Florida 14


September 10, 2016

(image via PCH)

Wilton Speight is the real deal? I still don’t know. Speight went 25/37 for 312 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions while taking 2 sacks. He spent much of the day hitting crossing routes or checkdowns; his deep balls included a couple misses, a 35-yard gainer to Jehu Chesson, and a touchdown to Amara Darboh. Central Florida got more of a pass rush than they should have and made things tough at times. Perhaps Speight’s best play of the day was when he was in the hands of a blitzing UCF safety, but the 6’6″, 243 lb. QB spun around to find wide-open fullback Henry Poggi in the flat, who then rumbled through a couple tackles for an 8-yard gain. Speight was also more efficient than the numbers suggest, because normally sure-handed tight end Jake Butt dropped a couple passes. It was a very good day for Speight, but I thought Jedd Fisch’s passing game created some nice windows to throw the ball.

Hit the jump for more thoughts on Michigan vs. Central Florida.





The offensive line remains unproven. I didn’t see many standouts in Central Florida’s front, but they consistently found cracks in Michigan’s protection with their 3-4 blitz packages. They were short or otherwise undersized, and they didn’t have a great deal of athleticism. However, they do have a fair amount of experience, and maybe that meant they were a little more prepared to unleash an array of blitzes. Starting left guard Ben Braden returned for this game after missing last week due to an injury, but I thought he made some mistakes early, and he was eventually replaced by Ben Bredeson. Furthermore, Michigan struggled mightily to run the football. It took oodles of broken tackle for starting running back De’Veon Smith to reach 3.8 yards/carry. The team finished with 38 carries for 142 yards (not including the 2 sacks and Kenny Allen’s botched punt), which is about 3.5 yards/carry. It was a pretty poor effort by a line that has enough experience to do better.

Forget the concerns about Khalid Hill as a runner. At about 263 lbs., Hill just barrels through people if the line gets any push at all. He now has 3 rushing touchdowns this season. Not bad for a converted tight end.

Central Florida isn’t terrible. I think some people were underrating Central Florida going into this game. I predicted a 41-10 win for Michigan, and the responses seemed to be “We think that’s too close of a score” or “Michigan will shut them out.” The pace of UCF’s offense alone presents an issue for any defense, let alone one that is hampered by missing multiple guys in the two-deep. Adrian Killins broke off an 87-yard touchdown run, and Dontravious Wilson had a 34-yard score right up the gut. I wasn’t impressed with backup quarterback Nick Patti’s abilities in the passing game, but he made some decent choices in the run game. Starting QB Justin Holman and Patti each went 3/11 for 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, but Holman looked like the more capable of the two before appearing to pull his hamstring. I think UCF head coach Scott Frost has the team going in a decent direction, but they don’t have a ton of weapons right now.

Tempo creates problems. I think the 34-yard touchdown might not have happened if not for the pace UCF was running their offense. It seemed like Rashan Gary and Matt Godin weren’t quite on the same page regarding the line stunt they were running, and that left the A-gap unfilled on Wilson’s 34-yard touchdown. For the most part, Michigan was very solid up the middle all game, except for that run.

Michigan needs to be full strength. Obviously, any team wants to avoid injuries, suspensions, etc., but Michigan doesn’t have the depth to play teams like this regularly. If further injuries occur or if Michigan plays teams with better talent who can keep up their pace, then that will be problematic. Right now the Wolverines are missing All-America cornerback Jourdan Lewis, potential early draft pick Taco Charlton, and backup SAM linebacker Noah Furbush, along with freshman corner David Long for at least this week (for undisclosed reasons). I think the defensive line did okay because of their depth, but the linebacker corps is the thinnest I have ever seen it at Michigan. The coaching staff doesn’t seem to trust freshman Devin Bush, Jr. just yet, so the defense goes almost wire-to-wire with Ben Gedeon, Mike McCray, and Jabrill Peppers. At some point that’s going to come back and bite them, because when Gedeon or McCray twists an ankle or injures a shoulder, the guy who steps in won’t have experience.

Rashan Gary had his breakout game. For those wondering when Gary would break out, I guess this was it. Central Florida’s offensive line was pretty bad, and that helped lead to 6 tackles, 2.5 tackles for loss, and half a sack for Gary in just his second college game. He finished second on the team in tackles, right behind fellow Paramus (NJ) Catholic grad Jabrill Peppers.

Yes, it was targeting. In the third quarter, UCF linebacker Demeitre Brim made an arguably normal tackle. After scrambling around for a second, Speight found freshman receiver Eddie McDoom for a short gain of 5 yards. McDoom started to turn left, saw a defender, and spun back right, at which point Brim nailed him. Brim was flagged for targeting, the officials reviewed, and it was upheld. Immediately, Twitter started rumbling about how it wasn’t targeting and it was just a normal football play back in the day and officials don’t know the rule and blah blah blah. It was targeting. I don’t think Brim was trying to end McDoom’s career, but the bottom line is that he hit with his shoulder the facemask of McDoom. You can see in the replay that McDoom’s helmet/head get bent forward by the impact of the shoulder to the facemask. You may not like the rule, but it was properly enforced.

Redshirt Blowtorch, Part Deux. Tight end Nick Eubanks saw his first game action, so that leaves the following class of 2016 players as redshirts:

  • LB Devin Gil
  • WR Nate Johnson
  • DE Ron Johnson, Jr.
  • DE Carlo Kemp
  • LB Elysee Mbem-Bosse
  • K Quinn Nordin
  • QB Brandon Peters
  • OG Stephen Spanellis
  • RB Kareem Walker

That’s just 9 of the 26 freshmen who remain (Dytarious Johnson, Brad Hawkins, and Ahmir Mitchell are not part of the program anymore).

Tight End Blowtorch. Michigan has used Jake Butt, Ian Bunting, Devin Asiasi, Tyrone Wheatley Jr., Sean McKeon, Nick Eubanks, Michael Jocz, and now Zach Gentry. That’s seven pure tight ends used over two games, along with Gentry, who has been practicing some with the wideouts.

I think Jim Harbaugh left the offensive starters in the game to pad their stats. The game was well in hand in the second half, albeit perhaps not as dominating as Michigan wanted. Broadcasters Steve Levy and Brian Griese kept lamenting that Speight (and, to a lesser extent, Jake Butt) were still in the game, but you’re not going to become an All-American at tight end, a 1st round draft pick, or a household name at QB by playing half of a game in a ball-control offense. When it comes time to recruit elite players or convince teams to draft your players, they can’t be throwing for 150 yards/game or making 2 or 3 catches per game. People look at production. If Jim Harbaugh wants the next Jacob Eason or Isaac Nauta to commit in 2017, 2018, and beyond, then those players need to be showcased. Once it comes to the meat of the schedule, Jake Butt might not be able to make 7 catches for 86 yards and 2 touchdowns. Better defenses might double-cover him where he ends up with just 1 or 2 catches, and you can’t count on him to be open enough to dominate Ohio State, Michigan State, etc.

24 comments

  1. Comments: 522
    Joined: 8/12/2015
    DonAZ
    Sep 10, 2016 at 8:44 PM

    Thanks for the recap. Again, I listened to the game rather than watched it, so I did not get to see how things unfolded.

    A couple of things stood out from the radio broadcast — (a) the running game struggled; (b) Jake Butt dropped a few he should not have; (c) Wilton Speight took quite a few shots … Dan Dierdorf expressed considerable concern about this; and (c) Speight seems to be quite accurate when he has the time.

    My impression is the playbook used so far is still pretty vanilla.

    Chase Winovich’s name came up a fair amount during the broadcast … so it seems he was in on a bunch of plays.

    • Comments: 3844
      Joined: 7/13/2015
      Sep 11, 2016 at 6:54 AM

      I don’t think Speight got hit a ton. He took more shots than I would like, but my target number would be zero. Otherwise, I would say the rest of those impressions are pretty accurate.

  2. Comments: 1356
    Joined: 8/13/2015
    Roanman
    Sep 10, 2016 at 8:46 PM

    They were pretty serious about not wanting us to run. Speight made em pay. The offense today made me think of the second half of last year where we had to be effective passing the football because we were no damn good at running it. I’m thinking we’re a passing team. You better get to work on your coverages, because Fisch has our guys crossing and running in every direction.

    Does anybody else think Darboh looks significantly faster this year?

    Did Onwenu play Nose Tackle? He recorded no tackles, nor did Dwumfour.

    Frost is running his mouth about outhitting us. I thought they were bringing it pretty good, but I’m not sure I’d be chirping after a 51-14 pasting.

    • Comments: 3844
      Joined: 7/13/2015
      Sep 11, 2016 at 6:55 AM

      I didn’t see Onwenu play nose tackle, but maybe. I did see him play some tight end in the goal line package.

      I wouldn’t say UCF outhit us, but they certainly didn’t back down.

      • Comments: 522
        Joined: 8/12/2015
        DonAZ
        Sep 11, 2016 at 7:17 AM

        “I wouldn’t say UCF outhit us, but they certainly didn’t back down”

        (a) Good for them … shows a toughness of attitude. Scott Frost’s comments are a little silly, but good for the players for showing up and playing hard.

        (b) Good for Michigan … this is something Dierdorf mentioned several times during the broadcast: it’s good Michigan is getting a chance to face an up-tempo spread team like UCF to see where the improvements are needed.

    • Comments: 1364
      Joined: 8/11/2015
      WindyCityBlue
      Sep 11, 2016 at 8:22 AM

      Well, yes, when UCF was loading up the box with 8-9 guys to stop the run, we weren’t going to put up 250-300 yards on the ground against them, and it would have been silly to try. They may have figured that we’d stick with a fairly vanilla passing game, and that that would be the best way to limit our offense. We still put up 50 on them.

  3. Comments: 191
    Joined: 8/13/2015
    crazyjoedavola
    Sep 10, 2016 at 8:53 PM

    It seems like no matter who is on our coaching staff, there are 2 things that we just can’t do; run the ball conventionally, and stop a mobile qb. It boggles my mind why we look so terrible running the ball with so many highly ranked linemen and backs who are being coached by a top notch staff who specialize in running the ball. On the flip side, over the years I’ve gotten so used to mobile qbs like Young, Dixon, Pryor, Miller, Jones… running through our defense untouched, that I pretty much expect it every time we face one. That is why I wanted Jim Leavitt for a DC, I think that he actually knows who to stop a high tempo spread.

    • Comments: 183
      Joined: 9/3/2015
      suduri xusai
      Sep 11, 2016 at 12:50 AM

      i just think that Hoke’s staff didn’t really know how to identify or develop OLmen and we are still paying the price. With the exception of Mason Cole and maybe Magnuson all of older OLmen are not that good despite their rankings.

  4. Comments: 1863
    Joined: 1/19/2016
    je93
    Sep 10, 2016 at 10:03 PM

    Thanks Thunder. Count me as one who didn’t expect much from CFU (I predicted 59-9). I did not however, expect to be out rushed in our own house, or even falling short of South Carolina State

    A win is a win, and at least we’re not Oklahoma State, or even Georgia, but we can’t have our special year if this was a glimpse of how we’re going to run / defend the run this year

  5. Comments: 183
    Joined: 9/3/2015
    suduri xusai
    Sep 11, 2016 at 12:51 AM

    I am most concerned about their ability to run against us. We really need to be at full strength at D-Line for the rest of the year in order to have a chance to upset our rivals.

    Mone and Charlton must get healthy ASAP.

    • Comments: 1364
      Joined: 8/11/2015
      WindyCityBlue
      Sep 11, 2016 at 8:10 AM

      Our run defense actually had relatively few lapses. Of their 275 yards, about 180 of it came on four plays. Yeah, I know that giving up big plays is still a concern, and that you can’t just say they don’t count, but it’s not like they were gashing us for 6-8 yards on play after play after play. That would have been a much bigger concern.

      • Comments: 3844
        Joined: 7/13/2015
        Sep 11, 2016 at 8:46 AM

        I don’t really consider the QB scrambles as part of the run defense. That’s on the pass rush and the lack of awareness by the back seven. Of their actual rushing attempts, 121 yards came on two plays.

  6. Comments: 33
    Joined: 8/15/2016
    mos12
    Sep 11, 2016 at 5:10 AM

    Darboh did look a lot faster. Maybe the competition was just slower? If you figure that their fastest CB is on Chesson, their slower one would be on Darboh.

    The running game is frustrating. I did notice Kalis make a couple of nice blocks, but there was not much consistency. As many have noted, UCF was determined to stop the run. At this point, I relish the thought of having to beat folks through the air. So many weapons and Speight looks good for only his second game.

    Run “D” against the spread is a little concerning. Anybody else wonder what JT Barrett and Michael Weber would have done against us yesterday?

    • Comments: 3844
      Joined: 7/13/2015
      Sep 11, 2016 at 6:59 AM

      I don’t know about Darboh being a lot faster. We all thought that last year, too. I think part of it is the opponent. Remember that he didn’t look so fast toward the end of 2015, so maybe it’s the better competition, or maybe he gets worn down, too. It’s unlikely that a fifth year senior suddenly becomes a ton faster, especially after seemingly making improvements in speed the previous year. I think it has more to do with our perception.

      • Comments: 1356
        Joined: 8/13/2015
        Roanman
        Sep 11, 2016 at 7:18 AM

        I first got the idea in my head when he went up for a badly thrown screen pass against Hawaii and then just zipped around the corner. Although getting rolled up on by an offensive tackle might make a DB a a bit slow. Today twice, I thought, “Whoa, fast Darboh.” But it does seem unlikely..

    • Comments: 522
      Joined: 8/12/2015
      DonAZ
      Sep 11, 2016 at 7:24 AM

      “Run “D” against the spread is a little concerning.”

      What’s the key to doing that effectively? Or, flip the question — what was the execution breakdown that allowed their run success against the defense?

      I’ve read elsewhere talk of holding to explain the 87 yard run.

      But in general … was it a lack of speed? Or was it breakdown in assignment? Too aggressive in blitzing, leaving an exploitable opening elsewhere?

      • Comments: 3844
        Joined: 7/13/2015
        Sep 11, 2016 at 7:45 AM

        I tried to work on another snapshots post this morning, but I have been unable to find a clip of the 87-yard run. Hopefully some more highlights gets posted today so I can work on that. Lack of speed, breakdown in assignment, holding, there were multiple factors.

        • Comments: 117
          Joined: 9/28/2015
          PapaBear
          Sep 11, 2016 at 8:55 AM

          There was a blatant hold on Mcray on the 87 yd run. But …we should’ve been flagged for holding several times as well.

          Thunder, walk me off the ledge. I do not think we can beat Colorado. Hell, we could be 2-2 in 2 weeks.

          • Comments: 6285
            Joined: 8/11/2015
            Lanknows
            Sep 11, 2016 at 8:57 AM

            dude

          • Comments: 3844
            Joined: 7/13/2015
            Sep 11, 2016 at 9:00 AM

            Sure, we can beat Colorado. I’m not saying we will 100% beat Colorado, but we CAN, and we will be favored. Again, I do not think UCF is as bad as some people have been suggesting.

          • Comments: 23
            Joined: 1/29/2016
            maizinblue88
            Sep 11, 2016 at 11:39 AM

            I think there is some PTSD going on here. This isn’t 2013-2014. No 28-24 Akron games.

            Michigan was super hyped by everyone heading into this season but you shouldn’t expect a flawless team.

            • Comments: 183
              Joined: 9/3/2015
              suduri xusai
              Sep 11, 2016 at 7:19 PM

              yes i know that, we did blow them out but there were several worrisome signs against an inferior opponent.

              I am just worried that superior opponents down the line will be able to run the ball against us while shutting down our run game, that’s all.

              If UCF can do that, think of what Wisconsins, MSUs, and OSUs can do.

  7. Comments: 6285
    Joined: 8/11/2015
    Lanknows
    Sep 11, 2016 at 8:49 AM

    Did you think the UCF D stacked against the run (more than is normal)? If one thinks so, I think 3.8 ypc isn’t too horrible and Speight’s performance should be taken with a grain of salt. Sure, you want to run on a UCF-caliber team at will, but the run-game isn’t at that elite level yet. It did seem like our receivers were open a lot. The approach of stopping the run and blitzing a lot is a sound one for an outmatched opponent going against a fresh QB.

    Pass coverage was real good I thought. 275 rushing yards is bad but ~180 of them came on 4 plays. It did not feel like UCF moved the ball consistently. Take out those 4 big plays and sacks and UCF ran for something like 130 yards on nearly 40 carries. Stuff to clean up in the spread defense, to be sure, but our DL and LBs looked mostly good to my eye.

    I would bet that we find out eventually that McKeon and/or Eubanks end up “injured” for the rest of the year.

    I don’t love the stat-padding, but there is logic to it. Doesn’t really explain playing Peppers and Glasgow late into the game though. I think that was a mistake on the staff’s part.

    I am both concerned and surprised that the freshman LBs haven’t gotten more run. That goes for Bush especially but also Gil and EMB, who I expected to play this year. Like Thunder said, they will need Bush at some point and Wrobeleski’s emergence is probably a red-flag there. Hopefully Furbush isn’t too far away.

  8. Comments: 6285
    Joined: 8/11/2015
    Lanknows
    Sep 11, 2016 at 8:57 AM

    O Takeaways:

    OL run-blocking hasn’t progressed as far as hoped and pass-blocking seems to have regressed.

    Smith is still the best RB, Evans is still the fastest.

    Speight making progress.

    D Takeways:

    LB depth – yikes.

    Secondary depth – legit. Clearly Kinnel is a player.

    Gary – legit.

    I am a lot less worried about the DL than most seem to be. Yes, we need to get people healthy for the stretch run, but the DL has been excellent in 2 games despite being short-handed. Wormley, Gary, and Glasgow were good. Winovich was active. I like what I see and Mone/Charlton being out gives others a chance to see more snaps. I saw Godin and Marshall out there more than usual. etc.

    I did think Hurst looked noticeably bigger. TBD if that is good or bad as I did not notice him having much impact.

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