Notre Dame 13, Michigan 6

Tag: J.T. Floyd


23Sep 2012
Uncategorized 56 comments

Notre Dame 13, Michigan 6

This will not end well. (image via USA Today)

I wish I were wrong.  I pretty much had the lowest score prediction in the Michigan blogosphere, and even I didn’t expect the sloppy snoozefest that occurred on Saturday night.  I was criticized on my game preview for picking a 24-20 score because the offenses were powerful and the defenses weren’t.  Well . . . we saw what happened.  The defenses were okay, but the offenses aren’t where they should be for either school.  Notre Dame should be more explosive for offensive genius Brian Kelly, and Michigan should be better with a senior quarterback.  Brian at MGoBlog sort of criticized my understatement that this would be Denard’s worst game against Notre Dame, but I guess I wasn’t clear enough; the pressure up front was bound to make Denard jumpy.  I just expected more breakdowns in the defensive backfield.

Denard Robinson is a terrible (passing) quarterback.  He was, is, and probably always will be.  I have been saying this for years.  He’s capable of good games (Ohio State in 2011, for example), but that’s not the norm when he faces decent teams.  Over the past two seasons, he has 26 touchdowns and 23 interceptions. Last night he was 13/24 for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions; he also fumbled twice and got sacked 3 times.  There’s no excuse for the poor decisions he makes, the poor footwork, the turnovers, and the inaccuracy.  Even his Hail Mary interception at the end of the first half was terrible because he overthrew every single dude on the team; you’re not trying to beat the opponent deep in that situation – you’re trying to complete the pass and get yards after the catch.  And all that stuff happened with Notre Dame missing starting safety Jamoris Slaughter and starting corner Lo Wood.

Vincent Smith and Al Borges d’oh.  Michigan was moving the ball really well at one point in the first quarter, and then Al Borges had to go ahead and call that play where Vincent Smith throws the ball to the other team.  That was a huge turning point in the game, because it seemed Michigan was on its way to scoring before that play.  Of course, Smith should know better than to throw it, but he’s a running back.  Hell, Michigan’s actual quarterback threw four picks of his own, so who’s to say that Denard wouldn’t have made the same poor decision?  I thought Borges called an okay game, but that was a huge, huge mistake.

Hooray for Jeremy Gallon.  I thought Gallon was pretty consistent throughout the night in all phases of the game.  He made good decisions on punt returns, ran well after the catch, and had a couple nice designed runs.

J.T. Floyd rabble rabble rabble.  He did not have a good game.  He is not good.  I take that back.  He isn’t good at covering, he isn’t good at supporting the run, and he isn’t good at taking on blocks.  However, he does have a knack for tackling wide receivers when they catch the ball in front of him.  So there’s that.

Freshman safety anger.  I hate hate hate playing freshman safeties.  I’ve mentioned this before.  All safeties should redshirt or be limited to special teams.  Jarrod Wilson got caught flat-footed in the second quarter and then had to grab onto Tyler Eifert to prevent a touchdown pass.  Pass interference, first down, then touchdown.  Wilson also picked up a holding penalty on the ensuing kickoff.  All that attrition in the defensive backfield over the past few years has really hurt the team.

WTF on Notre Dame’s touchdown?  Notre Dame lined up in pro left with trips to the right on the 2-yard line..  Michigan put four guys down with Jake Ryan as the middle linebacker and safety Jordan Kovacs about 7 or 8 yards off the ball.  This is problematic because a) Notre Dame has six blockers to block five guys and b) Jake Ryan isn’t a middle linebacker.  Ryan’s read step took him to Notre Dame’s left (presumably because that’s where the uncovered gaps were), but he was also moving backward on the snap.  Quarterback Tommy Rees simply took the shotgun snap and ran right behind his center and right guard, who were double-teaming Quinton Washington.  Washington didn’t do a bad job of holding up, but that’s just setting up your defense to fail.  Put Desmond Morgan or James Ross in there, and maybe your MIKE has a chance of making the right read.

Jake Ryan’s role needs to be re-evaluated.  I think the coaching staff is asking too much of him.  Sometimes he’s a SAM linebacker, sometimes he’s an inside linebacker, and sometimes they put him at defensive end, even in running situations.  He can’t hold up at defensive end against the run.  Leave him on the edge and then move him around in obvious passing situations to get after the quarterback.  He’s a quality player in some aspects, but he’s not a freak athlete that can be moved around at will.

Where is Michigan now? Out of the top 25.  And that’s probably where they deserve to be.  They were overrated to begin the year, and now they’re probably in the range where they deserve to be.  The loss of Junior Hemingway has hurt because Denard doesn’t have a go-to guy, and the lack of playmakers on the defensive line has turned this into a mediocre defense.  The linebackers and safeties are fine, but the defensive line and cornerbacks are weaknesses right now.

31Aug 2012
Uncategorized 14 comments

2012 Season Predictions

This is always fun.  Take a look at my 2011 predictions.

Now for the things that will absolutely, 100% become true in the coming months:
Leading Rusher
Last year I picked the right guy (Denard Robinson) but fell short on the yardage.  Now that it looks like Fitzgerald Toussaint will miss some time due to legal issues, it’s even more likely that Robinson leads the team in rushing for the third straight season.  Hopefully he can stay healthy and make this come true.
Prediction: Denard Robinson, 1200 yards

Leading Receiver
Starting flanker Roy Roundtree looks like he’s being groomed to be this year’s #1 target, now that he’s been moved to the multiple receiver side and wearing the #21 jersey.  The coaches want him to be The Guy, and he’s been successful before.  He doesn’t have the same ability to catch balls in traffic as last year’s leading receiver Junior Hemingway, but he does have some smoothness and shiftiness to him.
Prediction: Roy Roundtree, 750 yards

Leading Tackler
Starting middle linebacker Kenny Demens returns to the same role this season.  He doesn’t have the same talent in front of him to keep him clean, but the mass of Quinton Washington and William Campbell, along with the steady play of Craig Roh, should help Demens maintain some level of consistency.
Prediction: Kenny Demens, 90 tackles

Leading Sacker
The pass rush is not this team’s specialty.  Especially if weakside end Frank Clark can’t play much because of legal issues, the athleticism just isn’t there for the full-time players.  The best pass rusher on the unit is SAM linebacker Jake Ryan, but he might be overmatched if he has to play too much weakside end.  Ryan is better as a guy who moves around from the edge to an inside blitz, back to the edge, etc.
Prediction: Jake Ryan, 5.5 sacks

Leading Interceptor
I picked J.T. Floyd for this spot in 2010, but he got hurt halfway through the year.  Then I picked Jordan Kovacs last season, and he ended up with just 1 pick.  The best cover guy on the squad is Blake Countess, in my opinion, but Countess had 0 picks last year, though he had 1 in the spring game.  So I’m going to combine my last two choices.
Prediction: J.T. Floyd and Jordan Kovacs, 2 interceptions each

All-Big Ten First Team
Prediction: Taylor Lewan, Denard Robinson

Leading Scorer (non-QB, non-kicker)
Prediction: Fitzgerald Toussaint

Breakout Offensive Player
A lot of starters return again in 2012, and last year’s choice (Jeremy Gallon) already kind of broke out.  Lots of exiting Michigan players have mentioned Jerald Robinson as a guy to watch, but I have yet to see it.  I’ll go with Thomas Rawls, who at the very least should be able to run over some mediocre competition through the first half of the year (except Alabama) and pile up some decent numbers.
Prediction: Thomas Rawls

Breakout Defensive Player
This is a tough choice, because the back seven guys all return, the defensive line is expected to be mediocre, and perhaps my #1 choice during the offseason (Frank Clark) is in legal trouble and might miss too much time to be a smart choice here.  I guess I’ll go with Thomas Gordon, who showed flashes of playmaking ability last year.  I expect him to be even better in pass coverage this year and help support the run quite a bit, so this should be a big year for him.
Prediction: Thomas Gordon

Most Disappointing Offensive Player
Lots of outgoing players have chosen Jerald Robinson as a breakout player, and we haven’t even seen a glimpse of it in a spring game.  Before Roy Roundtree’s 2010 breakout season, he had a good end to the 2009 campaign and an awesome spring game.  Before Jeremy Gallon’s 2011 breakout season, he had some nice plays during his 2010 redshirt freshman season.  Robinson must do a lot in practice, but it never translates to anything more than that.  He won’t disappoint me because I’m not expecting a ton, but I do think he’ll disappoint some of those guys who think he’ll be a stud.
Prediction: Jerald Robinson

Most Disappointing Defensive Player
The only way anyone in the back seven disappoints is if they regress.  It’s already a rather solid group, perhaps without a superstar but pretty good nonetheless.  I think defensive tackle/end Jibreel Black is going to struggle.  He’s too small to play 3-tech and too big/stiff to be a quality weakside end.  He might be okay against the run as a weakside end, but Michigan probably won’t get much of a pass rush out of him.
Prediction: Jibreel Black

The Big Finish
Sept. 1 vs. Alabama: LOSS.  Michigan is probably going to struggle, especially running the ball.  Alabama has a very good offensive line and stops the run well.  That leaves the game in Denard Robinson’s hands, and he can’t pass Michigan to a win.

Sept. 8 vs. Air Force: WIN.  Air Force is going to struggle this season, and Michigan will be angry coming off the loss to Alabama.

Sept. 15 vs. Massachusetts: WIN.  UMass is in its first season in the FBS, and Michigan should handle them pretty well.  And it won’t be a close final score like it was a couple years ago.

Sept. 22 at Notre Dame: WIN.  This is basically a toss-up because Notre Dame is going to be on the upswing this year, I think.  The Fighting Irish will be better, but Denard Robinson shouldn’t be making the same mistakes he did in last year’s game.

Oct. 6 at Purdue: WIN.  Purdue probably won’t be very good this year.

Oct. 13 vs. Illinois: WIN.  Illinois doesn’t have the offensive firepower to beat Michigan.  They always seem to have a couple good defensive players, but they’re probably going to get overpowered on offense.

Oct. 20 vs. Michigan State: LOSS. Michigan State’s defense scares me a little bit, and Michigan hasn’t shown over the past few years that they can handle the pressure up the middle.

Oct. 27 at Nebraska: WIN.  This was a blowout in Ann Arbor last season, and Taylor Martinez and Rex Burkhead had a bit of a rough day.  Michigan’s defensive line manhandled Nebraska’s offensive line, so it won’t be a blowout, just a fairly close victory.

Nov. 3 at Minnesota: WIN. Minnesota is bad.

Nov. 10 vs. Northwestern: WIN.  Offensively, Northwestern will give Michigan some trouble like they always do.  But eventually Michigan will figure it out, and the Wildcats won’t be able to hold up on defense.

Nov. 17 vs. Iowa: WIN. Iowa lost quite a bit last year, and I think this might be a year when Kirk Ferentz and his revamped coaching staff can’t hold it all together.

Nov. 24 at Ohio State: LOSS.  The Buckeyes are going to be good at the whole defense thing, but I expect them to take a year before Urban Meyer’s offense really takes shape.  However, the game is at the Horseshoe, so Michigan will be a little off their game.

Final record: 9-3

14Aug 2012
Uncategorized 2 comments

2012 Season Countdown: #16 J.T. Floyd

J.T. Floyd

Name: J.T. Floyd
Height: 6’0″
Weight: 183 lbs.
High school: Greenville (SC) J.L. Mann
Position: Cornerback
Class: Redshirt senior
Jersey number: #8
Last year: I ranked Floyd #37 and said he would be a backup cornerback.  He started all 13 games and had 48 tackles, 8 pass breakups, 2 interceptions, and 1 forced fumble.

Last year I assumed Floyd would be the backup to Troy Woolfolk while Courtney Avery won the field corner job.  Instead, Avery played in the slot while Floyd and Woolfolk manned the outside spots.  Floyd played well enough to be named Honorable Mention All-Big Ten.  Some people saw marked improvement from his 2010 season; I saw slight improvement.  Some people overrated his performance based on a nice interception against Illinois; some people say I underrated his performance based on him getting burnt deep against Nebraska and Ohio State.

With Avery entrenched at the slot corner position and Blake Countess having established himself at field corner, the defensive backfield returns all four (or five, if you count Avery) starters.  Floyd should be expected to carry on with his solid but unspectacular performance.  His athleticism would seem to hold him back from making a huge leap, but hopefully he will continue to improve under the tutelage of Curt Mallory, who is a significantly better coach than former cornerbacks coach Tony Gibson.  I think the loss of three starters on the defensive line will give quarterbacks an extra split second to throw, which may hurt Michigan’s overall pass defense.  The disappearance of Terrence Talbott leaves a small void behind Floyd, but Raymon Taylor got some experience last season and bulked up in the offseason to 182 lbs.; he should be Floyd’s primary backup at boundary corner, with Blake Countess also a possibility to slide over in case of a long-term injury.  Floyd should repeat his Honorable Mention performance.  Anything more or less would be slightly surprising.

Prediction: Starting cornerback; 55 tackles, 2 interceptions