NOTE: I want to acknowledge that this post is coming out after Michigan’s first game. I usually get this post done prior to the season – for obvious reasons – but I was scrambling to finish the countdown and just couldn’t get it all wrapped up. Some of these predictions were already shared in the season countdown posts, but some were not addressed.
LEADING RUSHER I’m not sure how well this prediction holds up after watching game one against Fresno State, in which Kalel Mullings outgained Donovan Edwards. But I believed Edwards would be the lead back and put up a good chunk of yards. Prediction: Donovan Edwards, 1100 yards
Hit the jump for the rest of the prognostications.
Name: Semaj Morgan Height: 5’10” Weight: 174 lbs. High school: West Bloomfield (MI) West Bloomfield Position: Wide receiver Class: Sophomore Jersey number: #0 Last year: I ranked Morgan #68 and said he would be a backup wide receiver (LINK). He caught 22 passes for 204 yards and 2 touchdowns; ran 4 times for 67 yards and 2 touchdowns; returned 12 kickoffs for 186 yards; and returned 3 punts for 101 yards. TTB Rating: 76
Semaj Morgan was perhaps the most pleasant surprise of the 2023 season. Coming in as a receiver who’s a little undersized without the most impressive athletic profile, it wasn’t clear if he could carve out a role as a freshman. After all, he was a 3-star, the #70 wide receiver, and #501 overall in the 247 Composite. But he turned out to be one of Michigan’s most exciting players overall. He broke off an 87-yard punt return against Iowa that would have gone for a touchdown if not for an outstanding chase down tackle by an Iowa safety. He caught a short pass against Indiana where he looked to be 100% cornered . . . and then he bobbed and weaved and found the end zone. Altogether, he was more elusive and creative with the ball than I expected.
Even though I think Tyler Morris will catch more passes than any other receiver, I’m ranking Morgan ahead of Morris. Overall, I think Morgan offers a variety of skills (receiving, rushing, returning) that other receivers on this squad don’t have. The coaches seem to be pretty high on him, too, because they rewarded him with the #0 jersey for this season. I still have questions about whether Morgan can become a downfield threat and/or win jump balls this year like Jeremy Gallon, another short-ish receiver, used to do. But whether it’s returning a punt, running a jet sweep, catching a screen, or turning a hitch into a 40-yard gain by forcing missed tackles, I think Morgan is going to be a dynamic player in 2024.
Prediction: Starting wide receiver; 33 catches for 375 yards and 5 touchdowns
2023 Starters: Cornelius Johnson, Roman Wilson Losses: Darrius Clemons (Oregon State), Johnson (NFL), Wilson (NFL) Returning players: Eamonn Dennis (RS Sr.), Peyton O’Leary (RS Jr.), Tyler Morris (RS So.), Karmello English (So.), Frederick Moore (So.), Semaj Morgan (So.), Kendrick Bell (RS Fr.) Newcomer: Channing Goodwin (Fr.) Projected starters: Morris, Morgan
For some teams who play three and four wide receivers on every down, losing two senior wide receivers might not seem like a huge deal. So in the context of college football, the departures of Cornelius Johnson (47 catches, 604 yards, 1 touchdown) and Roman Wilson (48, 789, 12) might not seem like a huge deal. Johnson was the large-ish possession receiver, and Wilson was the speedy deep and intermediate threat. And then there were usually a couple tight ends roaming all over the place. Altogether, Michigan got just 47 other receptions from receivers not named Johnson or Wilson, and 3 of those came from Clemons, who is now plying his trade for the Beavers.
Based on playing time and targets last season, the two front-runners for starting roles in 2024 should be Morris and Morgan. Morris started four games – so he’s kind of a returning starter, I guess – and made 13 catches for 197 yards and 1 touchdown. But that one touchdown was a huge, key play when he got matched up against a linebacker against Alabama in the Rose Bowl and caught a crossing route for a 38-yard touchdown. Meanwhile, Morgan caught 22 passes for 204 yards and 2 touchdowns, and he also had an 87-yard punt return against Iowa in the Big Ten Championship game. He showed some downfield receiving chops in high school, but so far he’s been more of a catch-and-run guy with jitterbug moves – witness his screen catch for a TD against Washington – and adding in 4 carries for 67 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Last year’s spring game star was walk-on Peyton O’Leary (2 catches, 13 yards, 1 touchdown), who could factor in more this season if Michigan needs a big possession guy at 6’4″ and 190 lbs. Frederick Moore (4 catches, 32 yards) and Karmello English (1 catch, 6 yards, 1 touchdown) will also factor in somehow. Some people think Moore could be the fastest player on the team.
Players with less of a chance to make an impact include fifth year senior Eamonn Dennis (who has yet to make a catch in his career but plays a lot of special teams), Kendrick Bell (who was a high school quarterback until making the position switch last year), and early enrollee freshman Channing Goodwin. Bell’s brother Ronnie is now a wide receiver in the NFL with the 49ers, and Goodwin has some good bloodlines, as his father was a lineman for Michigan and in the NFL. But it’s unlikely that any of them play a huge role in 2024.
J.J. McCarthy, Jim Harbaugh, and Blake Corum (image via Mark Terrill/AP)
Michigan was the better team. I predicted a 27-24 loss to the Crimson Tide, so I wasn’t too far off on how the game would feel – I thought it would be a close game that came down to the end. But from the get-go, it seemed like Michigan had the superior team on a down-to-down basis. They sacked Jalen Milroe on four out of his first six dropbacks, and the offensive line was holding up fairly well. Alabama’s offense averaged 4.36 yards per play, while Michigan’s averaged 5.95.
Michigan dominated the all-conference selections in 2023, which is to be somewhat expected with a 12-0 record.
FIRST TEAM QB J.J. McCarthy (Coaches, Media) RB Blake Corum (Coaches, Media) OL La’Darius Henderson (Coaches) OL Zak Zinter (Coaches, Media) C Drake Nugent (Coaches, Media) TE Colston Loveland (Coaches) DL Mason Graham (Coaches) DB Will Johnson (Coaches, Media) DB Mike Sainristil (Media)
SECOND TEAM WR Roman Wilson (Coaches, Media) TE Colston Loveland (Media) OL Karsen Barnhart (Coaches) OL La’Darius Henderson (Media) OL Trevor Keegan (Coaches, Media) DL Kenneth Grant (Coaches) DL Kris Jenkins, Jr. (Coaches, Media) LB Junior Colson (Coaches, Media) DB Mike Sainristil (Coaches) K James Turner (Coaches)
THIRD TEAM OL Karsen Barnhart (Media) DL Mason Graham (Media) DL Kenneth Grant (Media) LB Michael Barrett (Coaches) DB Rod Moore (Coaches) P Tommy Doman (Media)
HONORABLE MENTION WR Cornelius Johnson (Media) TE A.J. Barner (Coaches, Media) DL Jaylen Harrell (Coaches, Media) DL Braiden McGregor (Coaches, Media) DL Derrick Moore (Coaches, Media) DL Josaiah Stewart (Coaches) LB Michael Barrett (Media) DB Rod Moore (Media) DB Makari Paige (Coaches) DB Josh Wallace (Coaches, Media) K James Turner (Media) P Tommy Doman (Media) RET Semaj Morgan (Coaches, Media)
I believe every single Michigan starter is represented here except FB/TE Max Bredeson (1 start), OL Trente Jones (2 starts), WR Tyler Morris (2 starts), safety Keon Sabb (4 starts). Even a full-time backup in Derrick Moore – who has yet to start a single game – was named Honorable Mention by both the coaches and the media.
Do you see any snubs?
Personally, I think Mike Sainristil should have been 1st team to both coaches/media. Meanwhile, I’m surprised Barnhart was valued so highly since he struggled in pass protection so much, especially over the last three weeks of the season.
