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19Sep 2010
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Michigan 42, Massachusetts 37

I wasn’t able to watch the game live yesterday.  After getting home at 12:15 a.m. from Friday night’s game, I was back at the football complex by 6:45 a.m.  Then we had a full day of practice, film, and meetings before I left at 3:30 p.m.  That’s pretty standard for Saturdays, so unless Michigan plays a 3:30 game or a night game, I have to watch it later.  The first time I checked the score on my phone, though, it was 17-14 and UMass was leading.  Usually I like to watch games live, but I was probably better off this way.  It would have been extremely frustrating to watch that game live.

So these thoughts are coming from the perspective of a guy who already knew the final score:

Notre Dame is stupid.  I don’t understand what Notre Dame was trying to do last week.  UMass certainly wasn’t able to shut down Denard Robinson (104 yards rushing, 241 yards passing, 3 total touchdowns), but they did a better job than the Fighting Irish.  Notre Dame had much better athletes, and they should have sold out to keep Robinson’s gains to a minimum.  It would have been difficult for Notre Dame to lock up with Michigan’s four- and five-wide looks since Brian Kelly’s squad had limited depth and speed at the safety positions, but it would have been worth a try.  It would have been better to have Zeke Motta covering Roy Roundtree than to let Robinson run for 244 yards.

Vincent Smith can’t get it done.  I know he came in early and worked hard.  I know he’s coming off ACL surgery.  I know he’s a willing blocker.  I know he has good hands.  He just can’t be a feature back in the Big Ten.  Good running backs have to be able to create for themselves in open space, and Smith just hasn’t shown that ability.  When evaluating Smith’s performance last year, I typically excluded his stats against Delaware State because . . . you know . . . that was just an unfair fight.  Sans DSU Smith had 31 carries for 110 yards and 0 touchdowns.  This year including FCS school Umass, Smith has 32 carries for 110 yards (3.4 yards per carry) and 1 touchdown.  Smith isn’t the best back on the team, and honestly, he might even be the fourth-best (behind Michael Shaw, Michael Cox, and Fitzgerald Toussaint).  Michael Shaw averaged over 10 yards a carry, but he got only one more attempt than Smith in yesterday’s game (12 to 11).

Michigan needs to stop scheduling FCS teams.  I said this prior to the 2007 game against Appalachian State, and I’m still saying it.  Playing FCS teams is a no-win situation.  If Michigan wins, they’re supposed to win and they don’t earn any respect.  If Michigan loses, it’s a giant blow to the team’s confidence and reputation.  I’m sure there are plenty of lower-tier FBS schools (from the MAC, the Sun Belt, the WAC, etc.) who would take a big payday and go home with a probable loss.  Michigan’s loss against Toledo in 2008 was the Wolverines’ first against a MAC school ever, but that loss doesn’t resonate nearly as loudly as Michigan’s failure against Appalachian State the year before.  Athletic director doesn’t need to go dumpster diving with these FCS schools.

Denard Robinson showed a little bit of touch.  Robinson showed something against UMass that he hadn’t shown in the first two games of the season, and that was the ability to put touch on a long ball.  The Wolverines rolled the pocket right against a Cover Zero look, and Robinson dropped in a rainbow to Darryl Stonum, who was streaking down the left sideline.  There hasn’t been much to criticize about Robinson’s play over the first few games, but that play answered some questions.  If teams in the future give Michigan a Cover Zero look or a Man Free defense, hopefully Robinson can take advantage.

The lack of defensive depth is apparent.  Massachusetts held the ball for 37:38 compared to 22:22 for Michigan.  But Michigan didn’t make a single substitution in the defensive backfield – TJ Floyd, James Rogers, Jordan Kovacs, and Cameron Gordon were the only DBs to play.  Even if all those guys are in great shape, it’s asking a lot to have them out there for almost two-thirds of the game.  Only 37 scholarships are currently being used by defensive players, and 13 of those are true freshmen.

Michigan’s offensive team speed is ridiculous.  I’d be willing to bet that this is the fastest team Michigan has ever put on the field.  Even Michigan’s “slow” receiver Roy Roundtree was able to run away from the UMass defense for a touchdown (which would be called back).  Denard Robinson, Darryl Stonum, Michael Shaw, and Martavious Odoms are the burners, but all these guys can run.  There are only a couple skill position guys whose speed is mediocre, but those guys haven’t been on the field much.

A win is a win . . . I guess.  I’m mildly upset about the score and yardage totals.  While I’m certain that the actual talent differential between Michigan and UMass is more than five points, the performance on the field leaves some questions.  In the years to come, not many people will remember that Michigan almost lost to UMass.  This is temporarily upsetting, but that will wear off.  I can’t speak for everyone, but I didn’t learn anything new from this game – Michigan’s offense is explosive, the defense is terrible, and the special teams are mediocre at best.

18Sep 2010
Uncategorized 9 comments

Davion Rogers, ex-Wolverine

Davion Rogers

Freshman linebacker Davion Rogers has left the football program.  He was a 3-star recruit from Warren, OH.  The reason for his departure hasn’t been officially released, but he had some NCAA Clearinghouse issues when trying to qualify for Michigan and rumor is that he never fully qualified.  Rogers was on campus and practicing with the team, but he had not played yet this season.

You can read my commitment post here, but Rogers was not expected to contribute to the team this season.  He’s 6’6″ and about 200 lbs., so he had a lot of physical development left before he could contribute at the college level.  However, he is an excellent athlete who would have been an asset to the team in the coming years.

This is the fifth Wolverine to depart since fall practices began.  He’s also the fifth member of the Class of 2010 who has failed to reach October of freshman year.  My frustration with Rich Rodriguez’s inability to recruit and retain players has been well documented on this blog, and this is yet another potential nail in the coffin for Michigan’s defense in the coming two or three years.  Freshmen littered the two-deep at Michigan already, and that trend will continue in the coming years due to all these transfers/non-qualifiers.  Rodriguez has offered veiled complaints about the lack of defensive depth left by the Lloyd Carr regime, but no less than 11 defensive recruits signed during Rodriguez’s tenure (Class of 2008 through Class of 2010) have already departed.  That means 31.4% (11/35) of defensive recruits brought in during that time have already left.

My unofficial calculations suggest that Michigan’s 2011 recruiting class will have room for approximately 22 players (10 unused scholarships, 12 departing seniors).  For a reference point, a few months ago the class size was supposed to be 14 or 15.  You might think that Michigan’s defense has been bad over the past couple seasons, but help won’t be on the way anytime soon if Michigan keeps hemorrhaging recruits.

18Sep 2010
Uncategorized 12 comments

Eligibility Count for 2010: 77

This is a list of all scholarship players for the 2010 season. Rodriguez does not publicly announce what walk-ons are awarded scholarships, so these are my best guesses.

UPDATES:

Added Kelvin Grady and John McColgan to the scholarship list.

Linebacker/defensive end Davion Rogers has left the team.

Defensive end Anthony Lalota has been granted his release to transfer.

Safety Vladimir Emilien has been granted his release to transfer.

Running back Austin White has been granted his release to transfer.

Cornerback Justin Turner has been granted his release to transfer.

Quarterback Conelius Jones did not qualify and will attend prep school.

Linebacker Antonio Kinard did not qualify and will attend prep school.

Cornerback Demar Dorsey did not get admitted and will attend Louisville.

Kicker Bryan Wright will not return for a fifth year.

Linebacker Brandon Smith has decided to transfer to Temple.

Donovan Warren has decided to forego his senior season to enter the 2010 NFL Draft.

REDSHIRT SENIORS = 8 (Final season 2010)
FB Mark Moundros
OT Perry Dorrestein
OG John Ferrara
OG Steve Schilling
DT Greg Banks
DE Adam Patterson
LB Obi Ezeh
LB Jonas Mouton
RB Benjamin Sutton
TE Mike Therman
OT Bryant Nowicki
S Nick Koenigsknecht
P Nick Berry

SENIORS = 4 (Final season 2010)
TE Martell Webb
DT Renaldo Sagesse
CB James Rogers
FS Troy Woolfolk

REDSHIRT JUNIORS = 9 (Final season 2011)
WR Junior Hemingway
WR Kelvin Grady
FB John McColgan
OT Mark Huyge
OC David Molk
DT Ryan Van Bergen
OLB Steve Watson
OLB Brandon Herron
FS Michael Williams
TE Jon Bills
OG Zac Ciullo
LS Tom Pomarico
DE Will Heininger
DT Dominique Ware
LB Rushdi Furrha
LB Kevin Leach
CB Tony Anderson
S Zach Johnson
S Doug Rogan
S Karl Tech
S Jared Van Slyke
S Jordan Reilly
K Scott Schrimscher

JUNIORS = 6 (Final season 2011)
RB Michael Shaw
SR Martavious Odoms
WR Darryl Stonum
TE Kevin Koger
DT Mike Martin
LB J.B. Fitzgerald

REDSHIRT SOPHOMORES = 10 (Final season 2012)
RB Mike Cox
SR Roy Roundtree
SR Terrence Robinson
TE Brandon Moore
OG Ricky Barnum
OC Rocko Khoury
OG Elliott Mealer
OT Patrick Omameh
LB Kenny Demens
CB J.T. Floyd
S Jordan Kovacs
QB Jack Kennedy
WR Patrick Collins
WR Elias Kos
OC George Morales
LB Paul Gyarmati
S Matt Cavanaugh
S Floyd Simmons

SOPHOMORES = 9 (Final season 2012)
QB Tate Forcier
QB Denard Robinson
RB Teric Jones
RB Vincent Smith
WR Je’Ron Stokes
DT William Campbell
OLB Craig Roh
S Brandin Hawthorne

REDSHIRT FRESHMEN = 10 (Final season 2013)
RB Fitzgerald Toussaint
SR Jeremy Gallon
OT Taylor Lewan
OT Michael Schofield
OG Quinton Washington
LB Isaiah Bell
LB Mike Jones
S Cameron Gordon
S Thomas Gordon
K Brendan Gibbons
QB Nader Furrha
RB O’Neil Swanson
FB Jonny Childers
SR Jordan Owens
WR Joe Reynolds
OL Adam Barker
OL Christian Brandt
OL Jareth Glanda
OL Erik Gunderson
OL Tom Lindley
DE Nathan Brink
CB Al Backey
LS Kurt Graman
K Seth Broekhuizen
K Eddie Murray
K Kris Pauloski

FRESHMEN = 23 (Final season 2013)
QB Devin Gardner
RB Stephen Hopkins
WR Jeremy Jackson
WR Ricardo Miller
WR Jerald Robinson
SR Drew Dileo
SR DJ Williamson
OL Christian Pace
DE Jibreel Black
DE Jordan Paskorz
DE Jake Ryan
DE Ken Wilkins
DT Richard Ash
DT Terry Talbott
LB Josh Furman
CB Courtney Avery
CB Cullen Christian
CB Terrence Talbott
S Carvin Johnson
S Marvin Robinson
S Ray Vinopal
P Will Hagerup

17Sep 2010
Uncategorized no comments

Programming note

There will be no UMass preview/predictions this week.  I’m in the middle of what will turn out to be about an 85-hour work week, so time is thin.

I’m guessing Michigan will win, though.

Go Blue!

16Sep 2010
Uncategorized 2 comments

Poll Results: Who should back up Cam Gordon at FS?

Marvin Robinson (center)

After Vladimir Emilien was granted his release to transfer last week, I asked the question, Who should back up Cameron Gordon at free safety?

Here were the results:

61% chose freshman Marvin Robinson
34% chose freshman Ray Vinopal
4% chose sophomore Brandin Hawthorne
0% chose Other

My choice would be Robinson.  I think Robinson is a better overall athlete than Vinopal.  And according to Troy Woolfolk, Robinson was a ballhawk during voluntary 7-on-7s during the summer.  However, the coaches have Vinopal at #2 on the depth chart.

Thanks for voting!