2015 Season Predictions

Tag: Mario Ojemudia


3Sep 2015
Blog, homepage 8 comments

2015 Season Predictions

Here are my predictions for the upcoming year:

Leading Rusher
I think Michigan will run the ball pretty well this year, but no running back is likely to run away with the yardage lead. There are three or four backs who could emerge as the leader, but my guess is that the week one starter, De’veon Smith, edges out the others.
Prediction: De’Veon Smith, 700 yards

Leading Receiver
The receiving corps is underwhelming, and the only big-play threats are guys who are totally unproven at this point. I’ll go with the consistent guy who lacks flash in redshirt junior Amara Darboh.
Prediction: Amara Darboh, 650 yards

Leading Tackler
Senior Joe Bolden finished his junior year second on the team with 102 tackles. The leading tackler (Jake Ryan) left, and the other inside linebacker (Desmond Morgan) isn’t quite as athletic as Bolden. I’ll give Bolden the edge here, and I think these two are really the only realistic candidates unless injuries occur.
Prediction: Joe Bolden, 100 tackles

Hit the jump for the rest.
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18Aug 2015
Blog, homepage 2 comments

2015 Season Countdown: #14 Mario Ojemudia

Mario Ojemudia

Name: Mario Ojemudia
Height: 6’2″
Weight: 252 lbs.
High school: Farmington Hills (MI) Harrison
Position: Defensive end
Class: Senior
Jersey number: #53
Last year: I ranked Ojemudia #33 and said he would be a backup weakside end with 30 tackles and 3 sacks. He started three games and made 32 tackles, 7.5 tackles for loss, 3 sacks, and 1 pass breakup.

The main beneficiary of Frank Clark’s late-season dismissal from the team, Ojemudia put up decent stats for a backup defensive end. His season included 2 sacks against Northwestern, 5 tackles against Maryland, and 2.5 tackles for loss against Utah. He had some big moments. The problem has been that he seems to disappear for stretches of time. He can also get swallowed up a little bit in the run game, because his size is more like that of a stout middle linebacker.

This season Ojemudia is Michigan’s leading returning sack artist with 6 career quarterback takedowns. He would seem likely to start at the Buck position, which is an outside linebacker/defensive end hybrid. We did not see him play in the spring game due to injury, but he is reportedly healthy and ready to go. Reports out of summer camp have him receiving a challenge from Royce Jenkins-Stone – who has finally bulked up as a senior and seems to have a fire lit under him – and redshirt freshman Lawrence Marshall, who has packed on 15 lbs. in the off-season to get up to 255 lbs. I thought Jenkins-Stone looked okay in the spring game against the run, but Ojemudia is the more versatile guy who can get a pass rush going. Even if there’s a lot of rotation, I think Ojemudia is the most proven pass rusher on the field and needs to play on passing downs to give the Wolverines some semblance of an outside rush.

Prediction: Starting Buck linebacker; 45 tackles, 5 sacks

6May 2015
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18 Wolverines Who Might Get Drafted in 2016

Jourdan Lewis

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Michigan recently had three players drafted in the 2015 NFL Draft – two seniors and a true junior, the latter of which was talented but never really hit his ceiling while in college. Over the past few days, I have seen some gnashing of teeth amongst Michigan fans about whether or not anyone will be drafted in 2016. It’s a somewhat valid concern because Michigan does not appear to have many superstars, and nobody leaps out as a likely first or second round pick for next year. However, there are numerous guys who could find their names called next spring. Here is a rundown of the players who could potentially get a phone calling bearing good news during next year’s draft. Some of them are young players who might make the choice – wise or not – to leave after their junior or redshirt sophomore seasons.


SENIORS
Joe Bolden, LB (Sr.):
 The 6’3″, 232 lb. senior became a part-time starter in 2013 and a full-time starter last year when he finished second on the team with 102 tackles; he also had 4 tackles for loss and 2 sacks. He will be counted on once again to be a leader on the defense, alongside fellow inside linebacker Desmond Morgan. Bolden has never been the most athletic linebacker, but he is known as a smart, high-character guy who usually gets to the right spot. If Jake Ryan is the standard for a 4th rounder, then Bolden might be a late-round selection.

Blake Countess (RS Sr.): Countess has had an up-and-down career for the Wolverines. After showing promise as a freshman, he tore his ACL in 2012. Then he had 6 interceptions in 2013, followed by zero – and basically losing his job – as a redshirt junior in 2014, when he did have 24 tackles and 3 pass breakups. If the odd year trend continues, he’s poised for a big year here in 2015. The 5’10”, 185 lb. Countess will be battling Jourdan Lewis and Wayne Lyons for playing time, but Countess has a shot to get drafted pretty high if he performs like he did two years ago.

Graham Glasgow, OL (RS Sr.): The 6’6″, 303 lb. Glasgow comes with some off-the-field issues having to do with alcohol, but he has been Michigan’s most consistent lineman over the past two seasons. He has the ability to play center, guard, or tackle, although his best fit is probably the guard position. He could probably carry some additional weight if necessary. If Michigan finds success on the ground, much of the credit will probably go to Glasgow, who will probably be the starting center this year now that Jack Miller has departed.

Hit the jump for some more seniors and some underclassmen who could be tempted to make a jump to the NFL.



Wayne Lyons, CB (RS Sr.): Lyons is transferring to Michigan from Stanford, where he had 30 tackles, 3 pass breakups, and 1 fumble forced as a redshirt junior last season. Two years ago he notched 69 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions. Lyons is a solid tackler who isn’t necessarily a sticky cover guy, but he’s another high-character kid who could possibly develop into a second- or third-day pick.

Desmond Morgan, LB (RS Sr.): Morgan would have been pursuing an NFL career this spring if not for an early-season shoulder injury that allowed him to get a medical redshirt for 2014. In a little over three seasons – including 31 starts at weakside or middle linebacker – he has made 229 tackles, 14 tackles for loss, 2.5 sacks, and 1 interception. The 6’1″, 236 lb. Morgan looks overmatched at times when playing in space, but he’s a bit of an old-school linebacker who excels against the run and can take on blockers without giving much ground.

Mario Ojemudia, DE (Sr.): The 6’3″, 252 lb. Ojemudia is coming off of his most impressive season and has steadily improved his production (32 tackles, 7.5 tackles for loss, 3.5 sacks last year). For the first time in his career, he is the front-runner to start at defensive end/outside linebacker. He is another guy who has shown flashes of pass-rushing ability and playmaking ability, but he hasn’t been extremely effective. When Frank Clark was kicked off the team late in 2014, Ojemudia stepped into a starting role to make 8 tackles and .5 tackles for loss over two games. His lack of size somewhat limits his options for playing in the pros, where he would probably have to transition to outside linebacker in a 3-4.

Ondre Pipkins, DT (Sr.): I include the 6’3″, 317 lb. Pipkins almost exclusively due to his size. Some fans still have high expectations for him, thinking that a torn ACL suffered during his sophomore season is the thing preventing him from reaching his potential. That may be a factor, because it takes longer for big guys to recover from those types of injuries. However, Pipkins has just 23 tackles and 1 tackle for loss through three seasons. If he were to launch himself into a draftable player, it would essentially come out of nowhere.

James Ross III, LB (Sr.): Ross came into college with a great deal of potential, but he has been lost in the shuffle a little bit. He’s similar in stature (6’1″, 232 lbs.) to former Washington Husky Shaq Thompson (6’0″, 228 lbs.), who was drafted in the first round of this year’s NFL Draft. Thompson is more athletic, but it underscores that NFL teams are moving away from prototypical 6’3″, 245 lb. linebackers and more toward guys who are a little smaller, more agile, etc. I have an inkling that when the league is full of 6’1″, 225 lb. linebackers who would have been safeties 20 years ago, the NFL is going to return to rolling out Jamal Andersons and Jerome Bettises at running back to truck the little linebackers. But in the meantime, the spread climate makes this a good era for someone like Ross. He should be a starter this year and he’s very physical for his size, so he has a chance.

Jake Rudock, QB (RS Sr.): Rudock has an MGoBlue profile already and everything (LINK). The 6’3″, 208 lb. quarterback basically lost his starting job at Iowa, but Michigan was in desperate need of a quarterback and worked out a transfer. As the Hawkeyes’ starter last season, he was 213/345 for 2,436 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. If his career had been over last season, he would not have been selected in the NFL draft, as only seven total quarterbacks were taken. However, Iowa’s playbook was mostly about managing the game, and while Michigan won’t air it out, Jim Harbaugh has had a way of making quarterbacks successful at his past stops. A standout season for the Wolverines could put Rudock into the draft discussion, although he probably lacks the tools to be a high pick.

Jarrod Wilson, S (Sr.):
 The 6’2″, 210 lb. Wilson has been pretty quiet during his career. His freshman season was rough, but it was followed by a promising sophomore year (50 tackles, 2 interceptions). Then injuries and ineffectiveness burdened him last year, when he looked like just another guy in his first season as a full-time starter (50 tackles, 1 tackle for loss, 1 forced fumble, 2 pass breakups). Wilson has grown into an in-the-box safety who’s most comfortable supporting the run, sniffing out screens, and being physical with tight ends and slot receivers. NFL teams will like his size, but he may not make enough big plays to make a name for himself.

UNDERCLASSMEN

Jake Butt, TE (Jr.):
 Coming off of a torn ACL suffered in spring of 2014, Butt was not extremely productive last season (21 catches, 211 yards, 2 touchdowns). Part of that can be contributed to a flailing offense and subpar quarterback play. Either way, he is 6’6″, 248 lbs. with pretty good speed and good hands. Butt is not an elite athlete, but Jim Harbaugh is a bit of a tight end whisperer. If the starting quarterback can find his rhythm, Butt is likely to be the biggest beneficiary of the receiving corps. A good season could launch him into thinking of a jump to the NFL.

Derrick Green, RB (Jr.): Running back is a position that seems to have a lot of turnover. There is no guarantee that Green will be the starter in 2015, but he came into college with a lot of hype and an eye pointed toward getting to the NFL. If the offense and offensive line come together – and if Green wins the starting gig – then he could be looking to leave. Running backs take a lot of wear and tear, so making money while you can before injuries take a toll is not a bad plan. Green had 82 carries for 471 yards (5.7 yards/carry) and 3 touchdowns last season.


Willie Henry, DT (RS Jr.): Henry is 6’2″, 311 lbs. and has shown at various times that he can manhandle offensive linemen. After making some wow plays in 2013, he was expected to break out in 2014 but never really played well consistently; there were rumors that he had an Alex Boone moment and thought he had reached the top of the moutain. He made 20 tackles, 5.5 tackles for loss, 3 sacks, and 1 interception against Utah that he returned for a touchdown last year. He has some competition at tackle, but he should get plenty of chances to show his stuff.

Ty Isaac, RB (RS So.): Much like Green, Isaac entered college (in his case, USC) with a lot of hype and NFL hopes. He had 40 carries for 236 yards and 2 touchdowns as a true freshman before sitting out last season while transferring. Isaac has a complete game – running, catching, and blocking – but it’s still not clear whether he will be the starter this year or not. Listed at 6’3″ and 240 lbs., he’s probably the biggest tailback Michigan has seen. If he wins the job and produces, he could be moving on for the same reasons as Green might.

Kyle Kalis, OG (RS Jr.): Kalis is essentially a returning two-year starter, and while he has not played up to his recruiting hype, he has the body to be an NFL offensive guard. The coaching at Michigan has been questionable for the past few years, but even so, Kalis has seemed not to fully understand his responsibilities. He has a mean streak and an NFL body, so if things click mentally for him this season, the scouts could come calling.

Jourdan Lewis, CB (Jr.): Lewis, who is listed at 5’10” and 176 lbs., might not be the biggest corner around (and 5’10” is probably a bit of an exaggeration), but he has the best man coverage skills on the team and can hang with just about any receiver. Even when he gets beaten, it’s done in a tight window. He’s also liable to get flagged for pass interference fairly often because he likes to be very hands-on with his coverage. Last season he had 39 tackles and 2 interceptions, and teams started picking on Lewis’s defensive backfield mates instead. Good cornerbacks are at a premium in today’s game, so if he continues to develop, he’s probably the closest to making the NFL jump based solely on his abilities.

DeVeon Smith, RB (Jr.): Smith (5’11”, 228 lbs.) was rumored to have some attitude issues with the previous coaching staff. He ended up leading the team in carries, yardage, and touchdowns (108 carries, 519 yards, 6 touchdowns) but most of that came after early-season starter Derrick Green was injured. Smith was the most impressive running back in the spring game, although Green, Isaac, and Drake Johnson were limited or sidelined by injuries. Michigan has the potential for a very crowded backfield, and one way to escape the jostling for position is to go get paid to jostle in the NFL.

Chris Wormley, DT (RS Jr.): The 6’4″, 300 lb. defensive lineman has always been pegged as a potential star, but his motor has been questioned at times (including by yours truly). He has flashed ability in his first couple years on the field after tearing his ACL as a freshman. This past season he notched 21 tackles, 5 tackles for loss, and 3 sacks. Michigan supposedly has big plans for him, and the new coaching staff may have lit a fire under his butt. Quick enough to play end in a 3-4 and big enough to play inside in a 4-3, he has the versatility and explosiveness to pique the interest of NFL scouts.

16Nov 2014
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Frank Clark has been arrested

As appears to have been first reported by MGoBlog (LINK), Michigan defensive end Frank Clark was arrested late Saturday night/Sunday morning in connection with a domestic violence incident. As far as I know, details of the incident have not been made public.

You may remember that head coach Brady Hoke has handled incidents like this with something more than the typical reaction at Florida State, so I will assume that Clark will be suspended for the upcoming game against Maryland, if not longer. Reference points:

  • Clark himself was suspended for the 2012 season opener against Alabama for stealing a laptop
  • Fitzgerald Toussaint was suspended for that same game for an alcohol-related offense
  • Darryl Stonum was suspended for an entire season (for which he would have redshirted) after dealing with multiple alcohol-related offenses
  • Graham Glasgow was suspended for this season’s opener against Appalachian State for an alcohol-related incident
  • Will Hagerup was suspended for the entire 2013 season (for which he redshirted) after some funny business
  • Jake Butt was suspended a couple weeks for a “failure to meet team expectations”
  • Josh Furman and Tamani Carter were suspended from participating in spring practice activities during an investigation in 2012
So yeah. I think it’s a safe assumption that Clark will not be playing next Saturday, at the least.
Clark is perhaps Michigan’s best defensive player and has 42 tackles, 13.5 tackles for loss, 4.5 sacks, and 2 pass breakups. He would be coming off his best performance of the season against Northwestern, when he had 2.5 tackles for loss, 1.5 sacks, and those 2 pass knockdowns.
The backup for Clark is listed as Mario Ojemudia, a junior who had 2 sacks of his own against Northwestern. He has played a good amount of snaps throughout his career and has 24 tackles, 7 tackles for loss, and 3.5 sacks this season. Ojemudia will probably be a starter next season, so the starting job should be in at least decent hands. The problem might arise when Michigan has to rotate other players, which may include redshirt freshman Henry Poggi (1 tackle) or junior linebacker/defensive end Royce Jenkins-Stone (8 tackles). Sophomore Taco Charlton (18 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, 2.5 sacks) might also be in the running to start, but he has been Brennen Beyer’s backup on the other side and is less experienced and consistent than Ojemudia. 
9Nov 2014
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Michigan 10, Northwestern 9

This was the scene for most of the first half (image via Zimbio)

Ugly. That was a terrible performance by everyone except Michigan’s front seven and Northwestern’s secondary. Each team turned over the ball 3 times, nobody could move the ball consistently, quarterbacks were falling down without being touched, and there were no big plays except when Northwestern safety Ibraheim Campbell returned an interception 79 yards. The Wildcats are banged up, and their offensive line isn’t very good. Michigan’s top skill players – Devin Gardner, Devin Funchess, Dennis Norfleet, and Derrick Green – are all limping or out entirely.

Michigan’s defensive tackles have matched the secondary in interceptions. Matt Godin’s interception gives the tackles two (Willie Henry had a pick against Utah), while cornerback Jourdan Lewis has 2 – and is the only player in the secondary to record an interception. The Wolverines now have 5 picks on the season after linebacker Jake Ryan got one in this game, too, but it has been a largely unproductive season for Michigan’s defensive backs.

Quarterback play is wretched. Devin Gardner made some terrible decisions in the passing game, much like he did last year at Northwestern. He finished the game 11/24 for 109 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Michigan was winning the field position battle in the first half, playing in Northwestern territory almost the entire time. That added up to 0 points. On the play that turned into Campbell’s interception, Bo Dever was wide open deep on the right sideline, but Gardner tried to hit Freddy Canteen in the middle of the field. Gardner looks indecisive, doesn’t throw on time, and won’t tuck the ball and run with any authority. When he does make a quick decision, it’s usually the wrong one.

Offensive line improvement. Michigan fans may not like to hear it, but this offensive line is getting better. The Wolverines did a good job of keeping pressure off of Gardner, and they were opening up decent-sized holes in the running game. Northwestern did not get a ton of penetration, and while they don’t have any huge playmakers on the defensive line, this still represents a step forward for Michigan. Fans who want head coach Brady Hoke and offensive line coach Darrell Funk gone after this season are not gathering convincing evidence on the field from the offensive line. Of course, Michigan’s skill players aren’t doing much with the holes provided, either.

Running back situation. Last week I called for Drake Johnson to get more playing time, and he did (10 carries for 30 yards). However, he and De’Veon Smith both looked bad early. I thought Smith, in particular, looked indecisive and slow to the hole in the first half. He spent way too much time dancing in the backfield, trying to wait for something better. One of the coaches on the sideline – presumably Fred Jackson – must have talked to Smith, because when he finally decided to hit the line with authority, the running game took off. Smith finished with 18 carries for 121 yards and 1 touchdown. Johnson, meanwhile, is the faster of the two backs, but he struggles to break tackles. I believe we saw the last of him when he fumbled the ball, which was recovered by Joey-on-the-Spot Kerridge.

The wide receivers are slow. This is not new news, but it is painfully obvious. Funchess has more speed than he’s showing, but I just don’t see him running hard. I think his ankle is still bothering him. Maybe that’s what’s sapping his concentration, since he seems to drop half the passes thrown his way. Jehu Chesson has decent speed, but he has been banged up and has perhaps the worst hands out of the entire receiving corps. Norfleet is out. Gardner – who is playing poorly anyway – has limited options, none of whom can get separation unless the defense blows a coverage. Unfortunately, there’s not much help in sight. I have hopes for Maurice Ways, who I think is going to surprise some people when he hits the field. Drake Harris, who is redshirting along with Ways, used to be fast before he had a two-years-long hamstring injury. I am not counting on him to return to form. Da’Mario Jones can’t seem to find his way onto the field.

The defensive line made Northwestern look silly. When backup defensive end Mario Ojemudia bull rushes through your offensive line for 2 sacks, you know things are bad. Michigan totaled 6 sacks, including 1.5 from Frank Clark, 1 from Brennen Beyer, and 1 from Willie Henry. Michigan’s defensive line made Northwestern’s linemen, quarterback, and play calling look silly at times. Color guy Ed Cunningham kept questioning Northwestern’s decision to call dropback passes, and I actually agreed with an analyst for once. The Wildcats finally seemed to have some success when they called shorter pass routes and kept backs in the backfield to protect the quarterback. It just took them a long time to realize it. Northwestern just couldn’t handle trying to block Michigan’s defensive line one-on-one while waiting for routes to develop. Clark, in particular, had a great game, especially in the first half.

Jake Ryan is a monster. He had 11 tackles, .5 tackles for loss, 1 interception, and 1 pass breakup. He and Clark could both feasibly earn Defensive Player of the Week honors in the Big Ten, which Ryan also won last week against Indiana. I thought all the linebackers played well, including Joe Bolden (7 tackles) and James Ross III (5 tackles).

Everyone except Jourdan Lewis is a step slow. Michigan’s secondary just isn’t making plays this year. Everyone seems a step slow, even against a Northwestern offense that is slow and lacking playmakers. The one exception appears to be Lewis, but even he a) should have been called for pass interference at least once and b) should have intercepted a pass thrown to Kyle Prater. The commentators praised Lewis for batting down the ball, but he should have planted his back foot and gone up to get the pass at its highest point. Meanwhile, whenever backup cornerback Delonte Hollowell is in the game, I think opposing offensive coordinators target him; he is, of course, the guy who allowed Northwestern’s lone touchdown. That has been his M.O. this year. I believe Notre Dame, Utah, and Northwestern have all scored touchdowns against Hollowell on flat routes near the offense’s left sideline.

Pat Fitzgerald’s decision at the end of the game. With Michigan hanging onto a 10-9 leading with a pending extra point attempt, Fitzgerald decided to go for the two-point conversion. I agree with the decision, but not the execution. Northwestern had momentum at that point, but for the entire game, Michigan dominated defensively. It seemed to take everything Northwestern had to muster that late-game rally. After losing for two straight years in overtime, it’s understandable that Fitzgerald wanted to go for the win. The maxim is that you should go for the tie at home, and go for the win on the road, but Michigan had been the more consistent team in this one. Northwestern had been hitting short passes late in the game, and I believe they should have continued with what was working. They should have gone with max protection and tried to hit someone short. Instead, they rolled quarterback Trevor Siemian to the right, and when Frank Clark ended up in his face, Siemian’s foot slipped and he fell to the ground. Game over.

What does this all mean? It means Michigan’s offense is still terrible, and Michigan’s defense is pretty good. The Wolverines managed just 256 yards, went 1-for-12 on third downs, 0-for-1 on fourth, and had just 13 first downs the whole game. The defense allowed -9 total rushing yards, and while Northwestern threw for 273, it was largely on dink-and-dunk passes late in the game.