|5-star receiver Stefon Diggs|
Many Michigan fans seem worried that the new coaching staff has thrown out offers with what fans deem to be reckless abandon over the last couple months. At last count Michigan has verbally offered 130 prospects from the class of 2012.
The key word there is “verbally.” Due to a new rule for this recruiting cycle, high schoolers cannot receive official, written offers until August 1 of their senior year. That means someone like Stefon Diggs (pictured above) won’t be 100% sure of who’s recruiting him until a little over four months from now. In the olden days, kids could receive written offers on September 1 of their junior years, meaning Diggs would have been offered several months ago.
One thing to watch is how many kids actually accept offers this early in the process. Since they can’t have official offers in hand for another several months, kids may be feeling out the process a little longer. It seems that there have been fewer early commitments in the class of 2012 overall. Only 19 of the 130 offered have already committed to a particular program.
While offers are coming at a much faster rate this year, they seem to be going to higher level athletes. Of the 130 offers, 84 of them (56%) are on the Rivals 250 to Watch list, which means they are likely to be 4-stars or higher. In my opinion, many of the other 46 players have a very good chance of being 4-stars, as well.
By about this time in the past few recruiting classes, Michigan not only had offers out to some lower level guys, but actual commitments from guys like Teric Jones (buried on the bench at RB), Antonio Kinard (a non-qualifier who ended up at Miami), Isaiah Bell (buried on the bench at LB), and Delonte Hollowell (who ended up as a middling 3-star prospect). This is not to say that those guys won’t end up being solid players at some point, but early offers and commitments should be elite kids. You can find the Teric Joneses and Antonio Kinards of the world late in the recruiting game, like Michigan has with Ray Vinopal, Jake Ryan, and Russell Bellomy.
Additionally, Michigan’s midwest recruiting base is pretty talented this season, which means the coaches – and recruits – don’t have to travel far. Forty-four of the 130 offers (34%) are to kids from Big Ten states.
I was not a huge fan of the Brady Hoke hire, so this is not coming from the we-need-a-Michigan-Man-to-right-the-ship perspective: I am legitimately not concerned with the number of offers the Wolverines have put out there. This coaching staff seems to have a better grasp on the type of talent Michigan can and should recruit. I will voice my concern if and when Hoke starts tossing out offers like candy to MAC-level and Big East-level talent, but so far that’s not the case.
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