Tag: game preview

29Nov 2024

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Preview: Michigan vs. Ohio State

RUSH OFFENSE vs. OHIO STATE RUSH DEFENSE
Michigan had a solid rushing effort last week against Northwestern and still ranks just #71 nationally (159.6 yards/game) and #62 in yards per carry (4.47). Kalel Mullings (12 carries, 92 yards, 3 touchdowns against Northwestern) is now up to 11 scores on the year, while Donovan Edwards (10 carries, 65 yards, 1 TD last week) had his second-highest rushing average of the year. Backup quarterback Alex Orji has 50 carries for 228 yards and 1 touchdown this year, but has two DNPs in the past five weeks, including against Northwestern. I would think Orji would get a few snaps just to give Davis Warren a breather from what will probably be a tough day of avoiding the pass rush, but maybe not. Meanwhile, Ohio State is #3 in rush defense (90 yards allowed/game) and yards allowed per carry (2.7). They have allowed more than 3.75 yards/carry to just two teams, Iowa and #1 Oregon. Junior LB Sonny Styles (6’4″, 235) leads the team with 71 tackles, followed by senior LB Cody Simon (6’2″, 235) with 65. Senior DT Tyleik Williams (6’3″, 327) is a force in the middle of the defense with 25 tackles and 5 tackles for loss, and senior DE J.T. Tuimoloau (6’5″, 269) leads the team with 11 TFL. Northwestern did a good job of stopping the run in the first half last week, but they ran out of steam in the second half and gave up. I don’t think Ohio State is going to do that this year.
Advantage: Ohio State

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21Nov 2024

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Preview: Michigan vs. Northwestern

RUSH OFFENSE vs. NORTHWESTERN RUSH DEFENSE
Michigan ranks #73 nationally in rushing offense (155.5 yards/game) and #74 in yards per carry (4.34). Indiana largely shut down the rushing game two weeks ago in a disappointing effort from the offensive line. Kalel Mullings (141 carries, 740 yards, 8 TD) still leads the team in rushing, but he has ceded carries lately to Donovan Edwards (114 carries, 513 yards, 3 TD) and even Benjamin Hall (4 carries, 9 yards against Indiana). Head coach Sherrone Moore hinted that a couple other backs could see playing time this week, including freshmen Micah Ka’apana and Jordan Marshall. The offensive line should see the return of starting RG Giovanni El-Hadi this week, but with RT Andrew Gentry out for the season and backup OT Jeffrey Persi working back from an injury, the right tackle spot will be manned by Evan Link. Northwestern is #28 in rush defense (114.6 yards allowed/game) and #28 in yards allowed per carry (3.59). The general trend is that the solid teams have run the ball well against the Wildcats, and the bad teams haven’t; Washington, Indiana, Iowa, and Ohio State have all gone for 144+ yards on the ground. Michigan hasn’t been greatly effective at running the ball, but they are pretty committed to hammering away until they clearly can’t do it. Junior weakside LB Mac Uihlein (6’1″, 230) leads the team with 65 tackles, followed by redshirt junior CB (yikes!) Theran Johnson (5’11”, 182) and redshirt sophomore nickel Robert Fitzgerald (6’0″, 208) with 44 stops each. The defensive front is made up of fourth-year or older players, with 6’3″, 310 lb. DT R.J. Pearson and 6’2″, 297 lb. DT Carmine Bastone in the middle; one defensive end is Aidan Hubbard (6’4″, 252), the brother of former Ohio State and current NFL defensive end Sam Hubbard. Hubbard and 6’3″, 272 lb. DE Jaylen Pate lead the team with 5 tackles for loss each. I don’t think Michigan will run over Northwestern, but I do think they will be able to keep the chains moving, especially if they can incorporate QB Alex Orji in some +1 runs.
Advantage: Michigan

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8Nov 2024

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Preview: Michigan vs. Indiana

RUSH OFFENSE vs. INDIANA RUSH DEFENSE
Michigan is #62 in rushing offense (165 yards/game) and #62 in yards per carry (4.59). Hooray for consistency! Unfortunately, the Wolverines have not topped 4.0 yards per carry in any of the last three games. Last week they managed just 105 yards on 28 carries against Oregon, and that’s with quarterback Davis Warren not taking any sacks. The Ducks had Michigan’s running game downloaded last week and the Wolverines got just 16 yards from Kalel Mullings and 52 yards from Donovan Edwards, as Michigan started the game by trying to run laterally without much success. Both RT Andrew Gentry (lost for the season against Michigan State) and backup OT Jeffrey Persi (left last week’s game due to a leg injury) are presumably out, meaning Michigan had to revert to struggling redshirt freshman RT Evan Link. Indiana is #1 in the country in rush defense (72.6 yards/game) and #2 in yards allowed per carry (2.52). They shut down Michigan State’s rushing offense completely last week, holding the Spartans to -36 rushing yards on 32 overall attempts. Junior JMU transfer Aiden Fisher (6’1″, 233) leads the team with 84 tackles from his linebacker position, and senior JMU transfer Jailin Walker (6’1″, 218) is second with 52. They’re #11 in tackles for loss per game (7.67). Michigan’s run game has been struggling for the past couple weeks, so unless they figure out how to use RPOs with Davis Warren, I think it’s going to be tough sledding.
Advantage: Indiana

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1Nov 2024

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Preview: Michigan vs. Oregon

RUSH OFFENSE vs. OREGON RUSH DEFENSE
Michigan didn’t help itself too much last week, but they rank #52 nationally in rush offense (172.6 yards/game) and #61 in yards per carry (4.67). Both Kalel Mullings and Donovan Edwards were held under 2.5 yards/carry, but backup QB Alex Orji rotated in with starter Davis Warren to average 10.7 yards/carry on 6 attempts and score 1 touchdown. The offensive line also suffered a loss with new starting RT Andrew Gentry suffering a non-contact injury, which message board rumors suggest is a season-ender. Oregon is #40 in rush defense (123.5 yards allowed/game) and #68 in yards allowed per carry (4.05). They have shut down some of the bad teams on their schedule, but teams like Purdue, Boise State, Ohio State, and Illinois have run the ball decently. Star DT Jordan Burch (6’6″, 295) has been out with a knee injury but might return this week; he has 19 tackles and 7 tackles for loss in five games this season. Otherwise, redshirt junior DT Derrick Harmon (6’5″, 310) is a Michigan State transfer who has 27 tackles and 5.5 tackles for loss. Fifth year senior MLB Bryce Boettcher (6’2″, 225) leads the team with 46 tackles, followed by senior Ole Miss transfer Tysheem Johnson (5’10”, 200) with 39. Another player to note is sophomore OLB Matayo Uiagalelei (6’5″, 270), who has 27 tackles and 8.5 tackles for loss. I think Michigan is going to struggle to run the ball against a quick Oregon defense, especially if Burch returns and is in good form.
Advantage: Oregon

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25Oct 2024

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Preview: Michigan vs. Michigan State

RUSH OFFENSE vs. MSU RUSH DEFENSE
Michigan is a disappointing 45th in rushing offense (180.3 yards/game) despite being unable to do the whole passing thing well. They average 4.76 yards/carry, which ties them for 54th nationally. Kalel Mullings (110 carries, 676 yards, 7 TD) is the leader in the backfield, while backup Donovan Edwards (80 carries, 391 yards, 3 TD) gave up his second fumble of the season last Saturday. It might be worth mentioning QB Alex Orji, too, who has not played for the majority of the past two games (he played three series against Washington) but who has 35 carries for 124 yards this year. With the turnovers given up by QB Jack Tuttle over the past couple weeks, the staff may work in Orji a little more. Michigan had three new starters on the offensive line last week with Jeff Persi at LT, Greg Crippen at C, and Andrew Gentry at RT, but starting LT Myles Hinton – Michigan’s best lineman – may return on Saturday. Defensively, Michigan State is #53 in rushing defense (131.1 yards/game) and #46 in yards allowed per carry (3.78). The last three teams MSU has played have averaged over 5.2 yards/carry, but two of those are top-five teams in Ohio State and Oregon, and the third was Iowa, which has a pretty solid running back in Kaleb Johnson; Johnson had 14 carries for 98 yards and 1 score, but one of those carries was a 75-yard touchdown, so his other 13 attempts went for 23 yards. The leading tackler is senior Wisconsin transfer Jordan Turner, a Farmington High School product, who is a 6’1″, 231 lb. middle linebacker with 43 stops. Next is fifth year senior LB Cal Haladay (6’1″, 233) with 34 tackles and then junior UCF transfer strong safety Nikai Martinez (5’11”, 191) with 31. Former Michigan DT commit Alex Van Sumeren (6’3″, 300) and fifth year senior D’Quan Douse (6’2″, 300) start at defensive tackle, but the Spartans rotate a lot of players in the front seven to keep them fresh. I do think Michigan can have success on the ground . . . if they use Kalel Mullings and Alex Orji appropriately, which is unfortunately a question mark.
Advantage: Michigan

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