Preview: Michigan vs. Iowa
Iowa running back Adam Robinson averages 96 yards a game rushing. |
I haven’t had time this week for a full preview, so this is going to be fairly brief.
Rush Offense vs. Iowa Rush Defense
Iowa has the #2 rush defense in the country. Michigan has the #6 rush offense. Something has to give. I’ll bet that Michigan runs for more than 63.2 yards (Iowa’s average), but Denard Robinson won’t be getting 200 yards against the Hawkeyes. I like Michigan left tackle Taylor Lewan as a football player, but Iowa defensive end Adrian Clayborn is probably going to eat him alive. Still, Iowa hasn’t played a team yet that has a great running game.
Advantage: Michigan
Pass Offense vs. Iowa Pass Defense
Iowa is #28 in pass defense (179 yards a game), but #10 in pass efficiency defense. I have a feeling that Denard Robinson is going to continue struggling in the passing game this week, because Iowa should be able to get a pass rush and harass him. If Iowa’s defense can corral him with their front four, then Iowa’s back seven should be able to confuse Robinson and force him into some turnovers.
Advantage: Iowa
Rush Defense vs. Iowa Rush Offense
Iowa running back Adam Robinson is averaging 96 yards a game. His backups are somewhat meaningless, but the starter averages 4.9 yards per attempt and Michigan can’t stop the run very well. The game won’t be won on the ground by Iowa, but they should be able to pick up some yards in chunks, especially if nose tackle Mike Martin’s sprained ankle slows him down. Reports indicate that middle linebacker Kenny Demens might get significant playing time, so perhaps there’s some hope for improvement against the run.
Advantage: Iowa
Pass Defense vs. Iowa Pass Defense
I’ve never been very impressed with Ricky Stanzi, but he’s doing well so far this year. He’s thrown 10 touchdowns compared to only 2 interceptions. Meanwhile, Iowa has a couple big play receivers in Derrell Johnson-Koulianos (15.9 yards a catch) and Marvin McNutt (18.3). Those could be killer combinations for a Wolverines secondary that ranks #119 in the country against the pass.
Advantage: Iowa
Final Predictions
- Denard Robinson throws two interceptions but breaks a 60-yard run.
- We see more of the backup running backs than we did last week.
- Ricky Stanzi throws a stupid interception like the gimme he tossed to Donovan Warren last year.
- Cameron Gordon gets beaten up the seam by a tight end.
- Iowa 28, Michigan 24